tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-128537702024-03-07T04:53:54.267-05:00bottlerocketsciencescotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.comBlogger2489125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-57966989197128116232023-07-25T10:18:00.006-04:002023-07-25T12:02:02.159-04:00Norma Gosnell 1933-2023<p> <span style="font-size: large;">Norma Gosnell 1933-2023</span></p><p class="MsoTitle"><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p></o:p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGTIDp1xFvWeJqTE_CNTh6I9A-vgakt1W9HSV9pPeaiDIGMvoRegjNrVwWR4FFCT9g_wZ6j7A1OxiG1xDke2y6PGcXJqcSlIPTIxkzqj3mXBgFGCVFn_RwEBPYvZfuWjs5VxwCeswrRSSddYrNdxFgJ0xpODElhVlHbIyiSKoX9wG_CVVunPdf/s1733/img034.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1733" data-original-width="1133" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGTIDp1xFvWeJqTE_CNTh6I9A-vgakt1W9HSV9pPeaiDIGMvoRegjNrVwWR4FFCT9g_wZ6j7A1OxiG1xDke2y6PGcXJqcSlIPTIxkzqj3mXBgFGCVFn_RwEBPYvZfuWjs5VxwCeswrRSSddYrNdxFgJ0xpODElhVlHbIyiSKoX9wG_CVVunPdf/w418-h640/img034.jpg" width="418" /></a></div><br /> <p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Garamond",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 107%;">Norma Louise (“Lee”) Gosnell, 90, of Upper Arlington, passed
away in hospice Sunday, July 16, 2023, after a long illness and a short one. She
was preceded in death by her parents, Roger and Edna Hall, her husband, William
(“Bill”) Gosnell, and her brother, Donald (“Bo”) Hall, as well as in-laws Bill
Pinkerton, Mariana Gosnell and Margaret Rudy.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Garamond",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 107%;">Lee is survived by her son, Scott Gosnell, sister, Irma
Pinkerton and brothers Bill (Gayle) and Jack (Sophie) Hall. She was a devoted aunt
to her nephews and nieces: Kelly (Pat), Karen (Mike), Steve (Lannie), Kathy,
Danielle (Chad) and Kim (Charles); Doug (Debbie), Steve (Linda), and Kathy (Phil);
and great-aunt to her many grand nephews and nieces. She was also a kind
interim mom to all those, younger and older, who were in need of it.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Garamond",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 107%;">Lee was a 1952 graduate of Linden-McKinley High School. After
graduation, she worked for the State of Ohio before opening her own business,
the Lee Hall School of Dance, where she taught ballet, tap and jazz.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Garamond",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 107%;">Lee met her husband Bill when both became members of the
recently opened Swim and Racquet Tennis Club; they would go on to become club
champions in mixed doubles, to remain lifelong partners in tennis and in life, to
celebrate the birth of their son, Scott, and to celebrate their fiftieth
wedding anniversary. She enjoyed working in her garden, which received an award
from the City of Upper Arlington, and particularly loved the daylilies, irises,
roses and hostas which Bill gave her at every anniversary.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Garamond",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 107%;">She believed that one day was too short for most holidays and
would celebrate birthdays for a week, Halloween and the Fourth of July for five
days apiece, and Christmas for as long as possible on either side of Christmas
Day itself. She liked to eat dessert last and open her Christmas presents last,
to her son’s great annoyance, because she preferred the pleasure of watching
other people’s joy. She was tremendously humble and would rather have been the
source of attention rather than its object; that extended to her funeral, where
being the center of attention seemed like the worst thing about it, even more
so than the dying part.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Garamond",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 107%;">She was a fifty-seven-year member of First Community Church
in Marble Cliff, where the memorial service will be held on August 4<sup>th</sup>,
2023 at 1PM in Burkhardt Chapel. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>We miss
her very much.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Garamond",serif; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 107%;">In lieu
of sending flowers, please plant a flower or tree in your own garden, play a
set of tennis, dance, or be kind to a nearby child in memory of her.<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-18745414375687138372022-11-09T10:27:00.014-05:002022-11-16T10:39:19.960-05:00The Decline and Fall of TwitterElon Musk was forced to buy Twitter with the Chancery Court of Delaware held to his head, and he's taking it out on the employees and users. Every day brings new layoffs, resignations, and firings.<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEivUNfF3XlBJ3h8GOLVWqHhGrmlgCH8Na51_OBKtUkx60LT2SYVRLn9af4XB_sKuQ6aXCtnN80pOfA7TgQHbuxUa7Hs_M8zddUJDi9_hW36dsQCKd14cNeSK3vLD88K_mPSheWMaCnIr8Wuno7gx8-b5H_bYSmeSQtOcfukAzIwXjS0iuIAVg/s881/Twitter%20tire%20fire.JPG" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="881" data-original-width="604" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEivUNfF3XlBJ3h8GOLVWqHhGrmlgCH8Na51_OBKtUkx60LT2SYVRLn9af4XB_sKuQ6aXCtnN80pOfA7TgQHbuxUa7Hs_M8zddUJDi9_hW36dsQCKd14cNeSK3vLD88K_mPSheWMaCnIr8Wuno7gx8-b5H_bYSmeSQtOcfukAzIwXjS0iuIAVg/w438-h640/Twitter%20tire%20fire.JPG" width="438" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhwkN434sLKjR1RIOLHXj_rqrL7kNGvniYp1JoVXAYa6sbThfQGWsOgksUSvWj4mxUn9pEFQEiWwCNmCGhyP-aLclH0VcEjAFTrEml96tALw_vmJt8vb-NrHg1EuptTNKQ26NplWdD2OJlG_07wjWT143Pk6LK_EUf4ePEtuHCzT3lDOPmnpA" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="489" data-original-width="385" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhwkN434sLKjR1RIOLHXj_rqrL7kNGvniYp1JoVXAYa6sbThfQGWsOgksUSvWj4mxUn9pEFQEiWwCNmCGhyP-aLclH0VcEjAFTrEml96tALw_vmJt8vb-NrHg1EuptTNKQ26NplWdD2OJlG_07wjWT143Pk6LK_EUf4ePEtuHCzT3lDOPmnpA=w504-h640" width="504" /></a></div><br />Somewhere, down in the bowels of Twitter, according to former engineers there, there are dozens of those little sticks holding the whole thing up, and one of them is going to snap soon.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">So, in between wandering though there, glass of wine in hand like a Roman Senator as the first flakes of ash fall in Pompeii, I'm going to wake up this blog. Hope to see some of you back here.</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br />scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-9193143202509277922022-05-21T14:03:00.006-04:002022-05-21T14:04:48.157-04:00EP 045 Kevin Kelly on Vanishing Asia<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQJnKG5BJ6m96xqpFcRU41wA3fAmRwUiUdT5oOZPb3T63cRbwSVr-Q2KG5eiT06k1P7rCaf79n3yCsFFJf9cguGkdDzVEVdwr0N9jsJQWlM1X9BkydjP-cd76MTnpTzi4S1Ld9dcvyN2qB_mtmJ5qjdJ5lRReYXT2BI-tNB0TEMLfRBJkhMw/s577/Kevin%20Kelly.JPG" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="577" data-original-width="547" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQJnKG5BJ6m96xqpFcRU41wA3fAmRwUiUdT5oOZPb3T63cRbwSVr-Q2KG5eiT06k1P7rCaf79n3yCsFFJf9cguGkdDzVEVdwr0N9jsJQWlM1X9BkydjP-cd76MTnpTzi4S1Ld9dcvyN2qB_mtmJ5qjdJ5lRReYXT2BI-tNB0TEMLfRBJkhMw/w303-h320/Kevin%20Kelly.JPG" width="303" /></a></div><br /><p><br /></p><p>Today, we welcome back Kevin Kelly, WIRED Magazine Senior Maverick, writer, and world traveler. Kevin's latest project is <i>Vanishing Asia</i>, a massive three part photo book containing a record of fifty years of travel in and through the world's largest continent. Originally recorded in Fall of 2021. </p><p><br /></p><iframe allowfullscreen="" height="128" mozallowfullscreen="true" msallowfullscreen="true" oallowfullscreen="true" scrolling="no" src="//play.libsyn.com/embed/episode/id/23186237/height/128/theme/modern/size/standard/thumbnail/yes/custom-color/87A93A/time-start/00:00:00/playlist-height/200/direction/backward" style="border: none;" title="Embed Player" webkitallowfullscreen="true" width="100%"></iframe>
<p>We previously spoke with Kevin in Episode 23 about his book, <i>The Inevitable: Understanding The 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future</i></p><iframe allowfullscreen="" height="128" mozallowfullscreen="true" msallowfullscreen="true" oallowfullscreen="true" scrolling="no" src="//play.libsyn.com/embed/episode/id/4502200/height/128/theme/modern/size/standard/thumbnail/no/custom-color/87A93A/time-start/00:00:00/playlist-height/200/direction/backward" style="border: none;" title="Embed Player" webkitallowfullscreen="true" width="100%"></iframe>
<p>For more information, visit Kevin at <a href="http://www.kk.org">www.kk.org</a>. Vanishing Asia's Kickstarter home is at <a href="https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/kk-org/vanishing-asia">https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/kk-org/vanishing-asia</a> . For more on the Startup Geometry podcast, go to <a href="http://bottlerocketscience.net/podcast">bottlerocketscience.net/podcast</a></p>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-25230707000350363212021-11-24T21:06:00.002-05:002021-11-24T21:19:12.196-05:00Startup Geometry Podcast EP 044 Greg Kaminsky on Pico and Preliminaries<p>Hello and welcome back to the Startup Geometry Podcast. This episode is brought to you by Windcastle Press, where a new pair of hardbacks of my translation of Giordano Bruno's <i>On The Shadows Of Ideas</i> will soon be available. </p><p>We're back after a long break to talk to Greg Kaminsky, host of the <a href="https://occultofpersonality.net/">Occult of Personality Podcast</a>, and author of two new books: <i><a href="https://www.amazon.com/PRONAOS-Reflections-Preliminary-Practices-Perspective/dp/B08WZHBQDF?keywords=greg+kaminsky&qid=1637806502&sr=8-1&linkCode=ll1&tag=bottlerockets-20&linkId=79362910694a4cee59f56b55bfbb10de&language=en_US&ref_=as_li_ss_tl">Pronaos</a></i>, dealing with the ngondro or preliminary practices of Vajrayana Buddhism, and <i>Celestial Intelligences</i>, dealing with the esoteric writings of Renaissance philosopher and magus Giovanni Pico della Mirandola, best known for his manifesto <i>Oration on the Dignity of Man</i>.</p>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnS0L2z431Y3pJidPbmTFyLPqPEv5mmAQOIzEazHLqQyYN_2ymg0mBUfROj2q7UgMZyYGRZwQc97HcPGV6pdOgqxQb-WhmadJRtOOAlF1Awfqp9g9nd4ScurS-Bhe4nqdFQYgc/s600/Greg+Kaminsky.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="600" data-original-width="450" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnS0L2z431Y3pJidPbmTFyLPqPEv5mmAQOIzEazHLqQyYN_2ymg0mBUfROj2q7UgMZyYGRZwQc97HcPGV6pdOgqxQb-WhmadJRtOOAlF1Awfqp9g9nd4ScurS-Bhe4nqdFQYgc/w300-h400/Greg+Kaminsky.jpg" width="300" /></a></div><br /><div><br /></div><iframe allowfullscreen="" height="90" mozallowfullscreen="" msallowfullscreen="" oallowfullscreen="" scrolling="no" src="//html5-player.libsyn.com/embed/episode/id/21279575/height/90/theme/custom/thumbnail/yes/direction/backward/render-playlist/no/custom-color/87A93A/" style="border: none;" title="Libsyn Player" webkitallowfullscreen="" width="100%"></iframe>
<p><br /></p><p>Download the episode <a href="https://traffic.libsyn.com/secure/windcastle/44_EP_044_Greg_Kaminsky_on_Pico_and.mp3">here</a>, or find us on your favorite podcatcher.</p><p>Pick up <a href="https://www.amazon.com/PRONAOS-Reflections-Preliminary-Practices-Perspective/dp/B08WZHBQDF?keywords=greg+kaminsky&qid=1637806502&sr=8-1&linkCode=ll1&tag=bottlerockets-20&linkId=79362910694a4cee59f56b55bfbb10de&language=en_US&ref_=as_li_ss_tl"><i>Pronaos </i>on Amazon</a>.</p><p>Pick up <a href="https://www.anathemapublishing.com/celestial-intelligences"><i>Celestial Intelligences</i> in three handsome editions from Anathema Publishing</a>.</p>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-7366325212571687742021-09-13T16:15:00.003-04:002022-11-16T10:56:00.361-05:00On The Shadows Of Ideas now available through Kickstarter<p> </p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjg3exFRWC1FNprxq0J_BT75s_6z-s8SvIkjyTNpzQexC_lC4pXP0iX3CCpneag-Jw9CaxtMfMhc8uNZP7T3ZtA9ZJXgt9Z01O1B33sWIU8dNQmiDR5GdRbJ3Tq-C6i2eKl1MVs/s225/bruno+rome+statue+night.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="225" data-original-width="225" height="225" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjg3exFRWC1FNprxq0J_BT75s_6z-s8SvIkjyTNpzQexC_lC4pXP0iX3CCpneag-Jw9CaxtMfMhc8uNZP7T3ZtA9ZJXgt9Z01O1B33sWIU8dNQmiDR5GdRbJ3Tq-C6i2eKl1MVs/s0/bruno+rome+statue+night.jpg" width="225" /></a></div>When I first started out working on Giordano Bruno's works on the Art of Memory, it was a bootstrap affair, and even then, the translations barely found their way into press. But <i>On The Shadows Of Ideas</i> has been a consistently popular title among Renaissance scholars, memory artists, those with an occult interest, and others who have come to visit with Bruno through their own doors.<p></p><p>Because of this interest, I'm now able to release this title in a form that makes no compromises. The new hardback Scholar's Edition and deluxe King's Edition are both made with the finest of archival-quality materials by master printers and bookbinders. We live in a time of great small specialty presses, and I wanted to make the most beautiful and well-made version of the book that it is possible to imagine.</p><p>From now until October 14th, 2021, <a href="https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/scottgosnell/giordano-bruno-on-the-shadows-of-ideas">the book will be available as part of a Kickstarter campaign</a>. </p><p>You can help bring this book into being today. Thank you.</p>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-34554990231189272952021-06-22T21:44:00.003-04:002022-11-16T10:56:25.366-05:00Announcing Windcastle Press<div class="kvgmc6g5 cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql ii04i59q" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; margin: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: medium;">UPCOMING PROJECT: I am opening the reservation lists for hardback and deluxe editions of De Umbris Idearum: On the Shadows of Ideas, the first book of the Collected Works of Giordano Bruno. </span></div><div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: medium;">The paperback and eBook versions have been selling steadily since they were first released in 2013. I've received a number of requests over the years for the hardback and deluxe from collectors and academic buyers. If you want one, then I highly recommend signing up for the reservation list, as I will be scaling the size of the print run based on the size of this list, and based on the number who actually pre-purchase either edition, and all indications are that both editions will sell quickly. </span></div></div><div class="o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql ii04i59q" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: inherit; font-size: medium;">The current plan is to publish a matched/coordinated edition of all seven books in the series, provided there is adequate demand for each book. If this reservation/publication model works well, then additional publications will be made, both classic and new works. For example, Trithemius's Steganographia is undergoing translation right now, and could be made ready later this year. I have requests for three more Bruno works, another by Trithemius, and several others in the queue. </span></div></div><p><a href="https://mailchi.mp/1e8cd426c7a3/windcastle-press">Sign up to reserve your copy and to receive further information here.</a></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqDR5801ZpLA6pnjRBrl8iGeKHUuiQF1u_NCM_GXrumXEIG89vfe3JUVCbmL1OOUoPaYMAqFjGT_Cjji_gRwaPrw7wNvHsSxKj1ULBxPGkNn0RvRaJOoPVXGqJcazIkCxpnTbn/s1600/The_Prague_Astronomical_Clock_in_Old_Town_-_8553+Jorge+Royan.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1600" data-original-width="1024" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqDR5801ZpLA6pnjRBrl8iGeKHUuiQF1u_NCM_GXrumXEIG89vfe3JUVCbmL1OOUoPaYMAqFjGT_Cjji_gRwaPrw7wNvHsSxKj1ULBxPGkNn0RvRaJOoPVXGqJcazIkCxpnTbn/w256-h400/The_Prague_Astronomical_Clock_in_Old_Town_-_8553+Jorge+Royan.jpg" width="256" /></a></div><br /><p><br /></p>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-52551339335798764442021-05-24T07:00:00.028-04:002021-05-24T07:00:00.195-04:00Links for Later, May 24, 2021<p></p><ol style="text-align: left;"><li>Neutrality with regard to the distribution of income necessitates a Social Welfare Function that is inversely proportional to each individual's marginal utility of wealth - Brad DeLong, a <a href="https://www.bradford-delong.com/2012/05/hoisted-from-the-archives-a-non-sokratic-dialogue-on-social-welfare-function.html">Non-Sokratic Dialog</a></li><li><a href="https://doctorow.medium.com/the-memex-method-238c71f2fb46">https://doctorow.medium.com/the-memex-method-238c71f2fb46</a> -Cory Doctorow, The Memex Method</li><li>Deleted Scene from Maggie Stiefvater's <i>Mr. Impossible</i>, from the POV of Adam Parrish <a href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1eEFBlh3JU7S9M40FqlZZZtNJRT_mDP3e/view">https://drive.google.com/file/d/1eEFBlh3JU7S9M40FqlZZZtNJRT_mDP3e/view</a></li><li>Fourier neural network for solving partial differential equations such as Navier-Stokes. <a href="https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/10/30/1011435/ai-fourier-neural-network-cracks-navier-stokes-and-partial-differential-equations/?utm_medium=tr_social&utm_campaign=site_visitor.unpaid.engagement&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR2NisMNe_Hs62ExkuQUJhwgxUBhhqwsUgmbZXMNouz2Qv21OAJKmklu8Xs#Echobox=1621608605">AI has cracked a key mathematical puzzle for understanding our world | MIT Technology Review</a></li></ol><p></p>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-15376143229260012012021-05-23T21:42:00.002-04:002021-05-23T21:46:05.882-04:00A Non-Sokratic Monologue on D. Carleton Gajdusek and Some Conclusions on the Incommensurability of Moral Aggregation<p> </p><p>Originally from a <a href="https://twitter.com/BevelonBooks/status/1395932602801008644">Twitter thread</a> with Mike Bevel, most of which was captured by Threadreaderapp here: <a href="https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1396104609891028996.html">https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1396104609891028996.html</a>.</p><p style="text-align: left;">Carleton Gajdusek bio <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daniel_Carleton_Gajdusek">here</a> and on the <a href="https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/medicine/1976/gajdusek/facts/">Nobel Prize site</a>. <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/15/science/15gajdusek.html">NYTimes Obit</a>.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjssH6Jb69RRZvchmArGibsV0PypAyx6tcTDZ7_7LQlDo4j4lGBjcQdNrgJUwEJgVqbh9U7hSeVgTE5TUxq_C-z5JF5j2yd2p2thUdO4MuXPNhlcUHx-xIaHjT0CrfUcTA6IezK/s746/Gajdusek+THread+1.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-align: center;"><img border="0" data-original-height="632" data-original-width="746" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjssH6Jb69RRZvchmArGibsV0PypAyx6tcTDZ7_7LQlDo4j4lGBjcQdNrgJUwEJgVqbh9U7hSeVgTE5TUxq_C-z5JF5j2yd2p2thUdO4MuXPNhlcUHx-xIaHjT0CrfUcTA6IezK/s320/Gajdusek+THread+1.png" width="320" /></a></p><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXPtm26SEu2zEiLFGWELn7arkqxqp5ZVSpdBh-PnOzLAZKDtHLX7EqusdUegkSDPS8KzmZhIfbInRtEmPHqhBFiJ7YBUOaW9dnn3uSYr5y8SeEoyYeHPN3V9H5HPm1mTnffLsa/s857/Gajdusek+Thread+2.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="857" data-original-width="672" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXPtm26SEu2zEiLFGWELn7arkqxqp5ZVSpdBh-PnOzLAZKDtHLX7EqusdUegkSDPS8KzmZhIfbInRtEmPHqhBFiJ7YBUOaW9dnn3uSYr5y8SeEoyYeHPN3V9H5HPm1mTnffLsa/w314-h400/Gajdusek+Thread+2.png" width="314" /></a></div><br /><p><br /></p><div class="mb-2 d-flex align-items-center" style="align-items: center; background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.84); display: flex; font-family: "lucida grande", "lucida sans unicode", "lucida sans", Geneva, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 0.5rem;"><div class="flex-grow-1" style="box-sizing: border-box; flex-grow: 1; overflow: hidden;"><div class="col-12" style="box-sizing: border-box; flex: 0 0 100%; max-width: 100%; padding-left: 15px; padding-right: 15px; position: relative; width: 627px;"><div class="d-flex align-items-center justify-content-between" style="align-items: center; box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; justify-content: space-between;"><div class="web-intent" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><span face="lato, sans-serif" style="font-size: 1.7rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em;"><br /></span></div><div class="web-intent" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><span face="lato, sans-serif" style="font-size: 1.7rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em;"><br /></span></div><div class="web-intent" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><span face="lato, sans-serif" style="font-size: 1.7rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em;"><br /></span></div><div class="web-intent" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><span face="lato, sans-serif" style="font-size: 1.7rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em;">I met Gajdusek when the graduate student group at OSU invited him to give a keynote address. Because it was a big university, we had a good record of getting Nobel and pre-Nobel scientists to come and speak. </span></div></div></div></div></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396104609891028996" dir="auto" id="tweet_1" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: lato, sans-serif; font-size: 1.7rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.5; margin-bottom: 20px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding-top: 20px;"><span class="tw-permalink" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #cccccc; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px; line-height: 0; position: relative; top: -0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: hidden; width: 12px;"><span class="fas fa-link" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; font-family: "Font Awesome 5 Free"; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-weight: 900; line-height: 1; text-rendering: auto;"></span></span></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396105124725116929" dir="auto" id="tweet_2" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a class="btn-mentions" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; cursor: pointer; display: block; font-size: 0.75rem; line-height: 1.4rem; margin-bottom: 10px;">@mentions</a>The head of the group was a good friend of mine, and so I got pulled into doing shepherding duty for the 48 hours Gajdusek was in town. Which was absolutely great. <span class="tw-permalink" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #cccccc; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px; line-height: 0; position: relative; top: -0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: hidden; width: 12px;"><span class="fas fa-link" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; font-family: "Font Awesome 5 Free"; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-weight: 900; line-height: 1; text-rendering: auto;"></span></span></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396110553010016256" dir="auto" id="tweet_3" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a class="btn-mentions" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; cursor: pointer; display: block; font-size: 0.75rem; line-height: 1.4rem; margin-bottom: 10px;">@mentions</a>Oliver Sacks, who was a friend of G's for many years said it was like meeting Goethe. Everything about him was heroic in the ancient Greek sense: his talents, personality, virtues, sins. Absolutely nothing small. <span class="tw-permalink" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #cccccc; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px; line-height: 0; position: relative; top: -0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: hidden; width: 12px;"><span class="fas fa-link" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; font-family: "Font Awesome 5 Free"; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-weight: 900; line-height: 1; text-rendering: auto;"></span></span></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396111295947083777" dir="auto" id="tweet_4" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a class="btn-mentions" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; cursor: pointer; display: block; font-size: 0.75rem; line-height: 1.4rem; margin-bottom: 10px;">@mentions</a>There's a point beyond which IQ tests are meaningless, and extremely intelligent people can only compare others with themselves and say, "He or she is more of a genius than I am." Other than possibly Francis Crick, he was the most intelligent person I've ever met. <span color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.84)" face=""lucida grande", "lucida sans unicode", "lucida sans", Geneva, Arial, sans-serif" style="background-color: transparent; font-size: 16px; text-align: center;">@mentions</span></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396112069393584130" dir="auto" id="tweet_5" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;">Spoke 14 languages and was well-read in most of them. Encyclopedic knowledge of biology, chemistry, physics. Saved a lot of lives, both as a physician and a researcher. <span class="tw-permalink" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #cccccc; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px; line-height: 0; position: relative; top: -0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: hidden; width: 12px;"><span class="fas fa-link" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; font-family: "Font Awesome 5 Free"; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-weight: 900; line-height: 1; text-rendering: auto;"></span></span></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396112670387019782" dir="auto" id="tweet_6" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a class="btn-mentions" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; cursor: pointer; display: block; font-size: 0.75rem; line-height: 1.4rem; margin-bottom: 10px;">@mentions</a>I learned more about being a great scientist from a few hours of conversation with him than in five years of grad school. Very funny. Very fat at that point. <span class="tw-permalink" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #cccccc; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px; line-height: 0; position: relative; top: -0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: hidden; width: 12px;"><span class="fas fa-link" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; font-family: "Font Awesome 5 Free"; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-weight: 900; line-height: 1; text-rendering: auto;"></span></span></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396113256247345154" dir="auto" id="tweet_7" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a class="btn-mentions" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; cursor: pointer; display: block; font-size: 0.75rem; line-height: 1.4rem; margin-bottom: 10px;">@mentions</a>And of course, it turns out that he was a pedophile who had been sexually assaulting dozens of foster and adopted kids from Micronesia, Melanesia, and elsewhere who had been sent in his care to get an education in America. Like I said, everything in epic scale, even wickedness. <span class="tw-permalink" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #cccccc; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px; line-height: 0; position: relative; top: -0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: hidden; width: 12px;"><span class="fas fa-link" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; font-family: "Font Awesome 5 Free"; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-weight: 900; line-height: 1; text-rendering: auto;"></span></span></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396114192986431489" dir="auto" id="tweet_8" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a class="btn-mentions" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; cursor: pointer; display: block; font-size: 0.75rem; line-height: 1.4rem; margin-bottom: 10px;">@mentions</a>At first, the allegations were so shocking that I thought it had something to do with the Mad Cow Disease scare--one of the other scientists who was working on it in California was murdered in a break-in, another in Britain was run off the road. <span class="tw-permalink" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #cccccc; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px; line-height: 0; position: relative; top: -0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: hidden; width: 12px;"><span class="fas fa-link" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; font-family: "Font Awesome 5 Free"; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-weight: 900; line-height: 1; text-rendering: auto;"></span></span></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396114457798004736" dir="auto" id="tweet_9" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a class="btn-mentions" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; cursor: pointer; display: block; font-size: 0.75rem; line-height: 1.4rem; margin-bottom: 10px;">@mentions</a>Which, together with sex crimes, seemed like ways that intelligence services got rid of inconvenient people. <span class="tw-permalink" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #cccccc; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px; line-height: 0; position: relative; top: -0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: hidden; width: 12px;"><span class="fas fa-link" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; font-family: "Font Awesome 5 Free"; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-weight: 900; line-height: 1; text-rendering: auto;"></span></span></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396114697733165058" dir="auto" id="tweet_10" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a class="btn-mentions" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; cursor: pointer; display: block; font-size: 0.75rem; line-height: 1.4rem; margin-bottom: 10px;">@mentions</a>But of course, that doesn't rule out the fact that he was, in fact, sex criming. </div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396117298637848580" dir="auto" id="tweet_11" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a class="btn-mentions" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; cursor: pointer; display: block; font-size: 0.75rem; line-height: 1.4rem; margin-bottom: 10px;">@mentions</a>The second lesson you can pull from this example is that nothing is an absolute protection against doing great evil--not intelligence, learning, humor, bravery, artistry, any other talent--other than simply being kind to all human beings at all times. <span class="tw-permalink" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #cccccc; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px; line-height: 0; position: relative; top: -0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: hidden; width: 12px;"><span class="fas fa-link" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; font-family: "Font Awesome 5 Free"; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-weight: 900; line-height: 1; text-rendering: auto;"></span></span></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396117413880647683" dir="auto" id="tweet_12" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a class="btn-mentions" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; cursor: pointer; display: block; font-size: 0.75rem; line-height: 1.4rem; margin-bottom: 10px;">@mentions</a>Or, as Terry Pratchett put it:<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />Granny Weatherwax: "There's no grays, only white that's got grubby. I'm surprised you don't know that. And sin, young man, is when you treat people like things. Including yourself. That's what sin is." <span class="tw-permalink" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #cccccc; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px; line-height: 0; position: relative; top: -0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: hidden; width: 12px;"><span class="fas fa-link" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; font-family: "Font Awesome 5 Free"; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-weight: 900; line-height: 1; text-rendering: auto;"></span></span></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396117480322609154" dir="auto" id="tweet_13" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a class="btn-mentions" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; cursor: pointer; display: block; font-size: 0.75rem; line-height: 1.4rem; margin-bottom: 10px;">@mentions</a>Mightily Oats: "It's a lot more complicated than that--"<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" /><br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />GW: "No. It ain't. When people say things are a lot more complicated than that, they means they're getting worried that they won't like the truth. People as things, that's where it starts." <span class="tw-permalink" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #cccccc; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px; line-height: 0; position: relative; top: -0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: hidden; width: 12px;"><span class="fas fa-link" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; font-family: "Font Awesome 5 Free"; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-weight: 900; line-height: 1; text-rendering: auto;"></span></span></div><div class="content-tweet allow-preview" data-action="click->thread#showTweet" data-controller="thread" data-screenname="infinite_me" data-tweet="1396117516905234432" dir="auto" id="tweet_14" style="background: rgb(245, 248, 250); border-radius: 15px; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; font-family: Georgia, Cambria, "times new roman", Times, serif; font-size: 1.1875rem; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 1.58; margin-bottom: 1.25rem; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><a class="btn-mentions" style="background-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: inherit; cursor: pointer; display: block; font-size: 0.75rem; line-height: 1.4rem; margin-bottom: 10px;">@mentions</a>MO: "Oh, I'm sure there are worse crimes--"<br style="box-sizing: border-box;" /><br style="box-sizing: border-box;" />GW: "But they starts with thinking about people as things..." <span class="tw-permalink" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #cccccc; display: inline-block; font-size: 14px; line-height: 0; position: relative; top: -0.5em; vertical-align: baseline; visibility: visible; width: 12px;"><span class="fas fa-link" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; font-family: "Font Awesome 5 Free"; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-weight: 900; line-height: 1; text-rendering: auto;"></span></span></div>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-36024778973505690542021-05-23T21:25:00.001-04:002021-05-23T21:25:33.581-04:00A Non-Sokratic Dialogue with Brad DeLong and Claudia Sahm<p> From Brad DeLong's substack, originally a <a href="https://twitter.com/Claudia_Sahm/status/1395717043584999424">Twitter thread</a> started by Claudia Sahm, in which I have a vivid recollection from a 2008 University of Chicago conference where John Cochrane made a keynote speech:</p><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoNormalTable" style="mso-cellspacing: 0in; mso-padding-alt: 0in 0in 0in 0in; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184; width: 100%px;">
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUk2P2yAU_DXxLRYG25CDD-1uIznauNo23aS9WBheEhICFsZxnF-_OKlUVeJDDDPwNPME93Cwbixa2_loWmo_tlAYGDoN3oOL-g5crWSR5ARlOI9kkcqEZSxSXb13ABeudOFdD1HbN1oJ7pU1kyCljKbRsQDEEpTncpHThPIM9jnLEae5YEIKBPT5Le-lAiOggCu40RqIdHH0vu1m5MsML8NoHJcStDWHuOubznNxjoW9hJs2TD431sw7K1woQMyl4toeepgH0B9hLkFoZWBGlt6ewczIK4yrROCPcYf1uTzZW3VaD9WmxG8vq6EhFfqL36uTmPBx_TIovl2iJ7e8VfeSrDdlGvitIGv1Xa0GuS199SrS6v6uAn4P5wc-vfe2W-nf2wrx7aIvDYrNH2av5w_P3n3yY6l_7m6abQ5Vm8FXNyCb8v14p7_gmu6-RarACCfBfoxJmmESJzEiMqM8xTwhpAlWYsGzvVxQwIwtMMOzFF0O-D-nIlc01nsNzooz-E48DA_EwTotDfiYex-HfUqyDoJLb5QfazC80SCfIftnqzxirw9gIPgNsuY-NAhOKKYJZiH4Z6ihC0hOp7pRFCqRNqhM8S_ITy8d2K4"><span style="text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;"><img border="0" class="header-image" id="_x0000_i1025" role="presentation" src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_1100,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7087017a-f5b5-40c4-b41a-19fa2386914d_2214x504.png" style="border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-top-style: none; display: block; height: auto; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; margin-top: 0in; max-width: 550px; vertical-align: middle; width: 100%;" width="550" /></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-size: 12.0pt;">This is your new edition of <strong><span style="font-family: "Calibri",sans-serif;">Grasping Reality—The SubStack Newsletter</span></strong>,
by Brad DeLong:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<div align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: .25in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: .25in; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">
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<h1 style="-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; line-height: 130%; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 4.55pt;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; font-size: 19.5pt; line-height: 130%; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUk2P2yAU_DXxLRYG25CDD-1uIznauNo23aS9WBheEhICFsZxnF-_OKlUVeJDDDPwNPME93Cwbixa2_loWmo_tlAYGDoN3oOL-g5crWSR5ARlOI9kkcqEZSxSXb13ABeudOFdD1HbN1oJ7pU1kyCljKbRsQDEEpTncpHThPIM9jnLEae5YEIKBPT5Le-lAiOggCu40RqIdHH0vu1m5MsML8NoHJcStDWHuOubznNxjoW9hJs2TD431sw7K1woQMyl4toeepgH0B9hLkFoZWBGlt6ewczIK4yrROCPcYf1uTzZW3VaD9WmxG8vq6EhFfqL36uTmPBx_TIovl2iJ7e8VfeSrDdlGvitIGv1Xa0GuS199SrS6v6uAn4P5wc-vfe2W-nf2wrx7aIvDYrNH2av5w_P3n3yY6l_7m6abQ5Vm8FXNyCb8v14p7_gmu6-RarACCfBfoxJmmESJzEiMqM8xTwhpAlWYsGzvVxQwIwtMMOzFF0O-D-nIlc01nsNzooz-E48DA_EwTotDfiYex-HfUqyDoJLb5QfazC80SCfIftnqzxirw9gIPgNsuY-NAhOKKYJZiH4Z6ihC0hOp7pRFCqRNqhM8S_ITy8d2K4"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">A Non-Socratic Dialogue on the Decline of Milton
Friedman's Influence; & BRIEFLY NOTED: For 2021-05-22 Sa</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></h1>
<h3 style="-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 3.0pt; mso-line-height-alt: 13.9pt;"><span style="color: #757575; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; font-size: 14.5pt; font-weight: normal; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Things that went whizzing by that I want to
remember...<o:p></o:p></span></h3>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 12.0pt;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkMuOhCAQRb-m2bWRQgUXLGYzv2F4VNukEQyW0_HvB9vFZBICJNxLnRxnCOdcDr3mjdi5TXSsqBO-t4hEWNi-YZmC13wQbQ8D87rzXPWKhW16FMTFhKip7MjW3cbgDIWczkInlezYU4MXEqR1yjoUvfLWjq4zRijVKTn2_Bprdh8wOdT4g-XICVnUT6J1u4mvG3zXZYvxHmNOc7PtdiPjXo3LS31ZMa8R64UP9cf7GbxfSRY0tMArOIDoehANb1rhe2k6MFyISuXAmf7hR4mg1AgKbl27zPBvBivaZqKIJbsX0uY-qDX4ziX6hNQYoqaep4OpFpY9BTomTMZG9JceuiR_hE0zJixVvp8MVbXAqyIOqiq7dFR_YpAnd8sqic-1lfSfgl9M5pR0"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><o:p></o:p></span></a></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 12.0pt;"><span style="color: blue; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkMuOhCAQRb-m2bWRQgUXLGYzv2F4VNukEQyW0_HvB9vFZBICJNxLnRxnCOdcDr3mjdi5TXSsqBO-t4hEWNi-YZmC13wQbQ8D87rzXPWKhW16FMTFhKip7MjW3cbgDIWczkInlezYU4MXEqR1yjoUvfLWjq4zRijVKTn2_Bprdh8wOdT4g-XICVnUT6J1u4mvG3zXZYvxHmNOc7PtdiPjXo3LS31ZMa8R64UP9cf7GbxfSRY0tMArOIDoehANb1rhe2k6MFyISuXAmf7hR4mg1AgKbl27zPBvBivaZqKIJbsX0uY-qDX4ziX6hNQYoqaep4OpFpY9BTomTMZG9JceuiR_hE0zJixVvp8MVbXAqyIOqiq7dFR_YpAnd8sqic-1lfSfgl9M5pR0"><span style="text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;"><img border="0" height="45" id="_x0000_i1027" src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_90,h_90,c_fill,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F369c09f4-8f0a-41bb-918f-77a8cfb9973f_1496x1258.png" style="-moz-border-radius: 50%; -webkit-border-radius: 50%; border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-radius: 50%; border-right-style: none; border-top-style: none; cursor: pointer; display: block; height: 45px; max-width: 550px; vertical-align: middle; width: 45px;" width="45" /></span><span style="color: windowtext; font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;"><o:p></o:p></span></a></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 12.0pt;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 12.75pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 12.0pt;"><span style="color: #757575; font-family: "Helvetica",sans-serif; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkMuOhCAQRb-m2bWRQgUXLGYzv2F4VNukEQyW0_HvB9vFZBICJNxLnRxnCOdcDr3mjdi5TXSsqBO-t4hEWNi-YZmC13wQbQ8D87rzXPWKhW16FMTFhKip7MjW3cbgDIWczkInlezYU4MXEqR1yjoUvfLWjq4zRijVKTn2_Bprdh8wOdT4g-XICVnUT6J1u4mvG3zXZYvxHmNOc7PtdiPjXo3LS31ZMa8R64UP9cf7GbxfSRY0tMArOIDoehANb1rhe2k6MFyISuXAmf7hR4mg1AgKbl27zPBvBivaZqKIJbsX0uY-qDX4ziX6hNQYoqaep4OpFpY9BTomTMZG9JceuiR_hE0zJixVvp8MVbXAqyIOqiq7dFR_YpAnd8sqic-1lfSfgl9M5pR0"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">Brad DeLong</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoNormalTable" style="mso-cellspacing: 0in; mso-padding-alt: 0in 0in 0in 0in; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 15.0pt;"><span style="color: #757575; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">May 22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 15.0pt; text-indent: 2.25pt;"><span style="color: #757575; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUl2PmzAQ_DXhrcjYfDgPPFxziUp0cLo2zV2ekLE3xARsZExy5NfXJFdVlaxdeey1Z3eGMwu1NlPa68F6cyjt1EOq4Dq0YC0YbxzAlFKkQUxQhGNPpKEIaEQ9OZRHA9Ax2abWjOD1Y9VKzqzUai4IE5qE3imtKA-AERzSkCUJ5ZFgEeKYLHGIUBUuH9-yUUhQHFK4gJm0Aq9NT9b2w4I8LfDGrcowIaDVqvaHsRos42ef686dsF66eAlcmN9y6c7qmwHGZzYLsrH6DC4_w7QNON5PH7g9Z43-LJr8Wuwy_LLaXitSoC_8VjR8xqd8dZW8258O5Gdf4VC-yhep2Jt09_vDx5t8bdY4b9Ykb_hn3tRD1rU3PmVxpr4HB4lQcatJscqGTBVuP-Pb9vBeIPa-HDOF_NhmtI4Tyg675_UmP5f5r10bnbP95WkZbbLfP44xBNddoQY3hXi0XTno0XBwrfwdwhfegZBjN7c49-7JFCMcOMUwJmGEiR_4iIgoYSFmASEVpxxzFh3FMgFM6RJTvAhRV-P_huuZtNLWtmA0P4Md-F0jd_GqTSsUWJ9Z67s8i1-6gm5U0k4lKFa1IB6-sA933XmVNSgwznWiZNZ5CgcJTgJMnVcePnDGIXEy80aeYyK0q1LpP-3_AI3r6FA"><span style="color: #757575; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;"><img border="0" height="20" id="_x0000_i1028" src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_30,c_scale,f_png,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack.com%2Ficon%2FHeartIcon%3Fv%3D2%26height%3D40%26strokeWidth%3D2" style="border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-top-style: none; float: left; height: 20px; max-width: 15px; vertical-align: middle; width: auto;" width="15" /></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 15.0pt; text-indent: 2.25pt;"><span style="color: #757575; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUstu2zAQ_BrrZoGiXvRBhzapARmxirRp7PYiUOTapk2RArWKIn99KDtFUYAPcDi7HO6O4AhH66aisz0G81Lj1EFhYOw1IIILhh5crWQRZTFJaRbIIpERS1mg-vrgAFqudIFugKAbGq0ER2XNHJDkLE-CU8G4pJyxKEmTbEVWkAoQRJBUZk0arbLs_iwfpAIjoIA3cJM1EOjihNj1i_jLgq79aByXErQ1x7Afmh65uITCtv6m85MvjTXL3grnBYilVFzb4wBLD-IJlhKEVgY80Ye0YNDnXaO9gFnEjzBtIkFfpz3Vl_Js36vzdqxeSvr0sBmbuCKf-LU6ixmftg-j4rs1uXPL9-paxtuXMvH8TsRb9V1tRrkrsXoUSXV9Vh6_-vMNn_M97Tf6964ifLcaSkNC84fZt8srsmeMfqz1z_27Zi_HqkvhqxuJTfhhuua_4C3Zf1vQbMC27u3gBHjpfyvxibcg1dDOX5rbEqiCEhr5tlEaJymNwygksUxznlAexXEjmKCCpwe5yoEytqKMLhLSHul_FQ5c0VhEDc6KC2Avbo3yxNE6LQ1gyBFDv88OqOf6DkbhVIPhjQZ5NwfeLXbTVR_BgO8TyJqjNxaNcppHlHnD3M3g3RNn-aybBF6JtD7KFP8M8AEC5uyx"><span style="color: #757575; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;"><img alt="Comment" border="0" height="20" id="_x0000_i1029" src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_28,c_scale,f_png,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack.com%2Ficon%2FCommentIcon%3Fv%3D2%26height%3D40%26strokeWidth%3D2" style="border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-top-style: none; float: left; height: 20px; max-width: 14px; stroke: #757575; vertical-align: middle; width: auto;" width="14" /></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 15.0pt; text-indent: 2.25pt;"><span style="color: #757575; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; font-size: 10.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkk2PmzAQhn9NuAWBDTEcOLS7jUS0odp2u0l7QcaeJE6MjcywLPn1NclWbSV_aB7P2OOZV3CEo3VT0dkeg3mpceqgMDD2GhDBBUMPrlayiFc0SskqkEUi4yzNAtXXBwfQcqULdAME3dBoJTgqa-aAhGUsCU4Fy2keZ0BWKYiUsYY1B8b4gcmcijwRq_uzfJAKjIAC3sBN1kCgixNi1y_opwVZ-9E4LiVoa45hPzQ9cnEJhW39SecnXxprlr0VzicgllJxbY8DLD3EEywlCK0MLOh6wLbu7eCENx7_XLQgq5m3INXQen771QcU1iAYnL1P3IGnXMx__AegvcBsw7SJBXmd9kRfyrN9r87bsXopydPDZmxoFX3wa3UWM5-2D6Piu3V09y3fq2tJty9l4v07Qbfqq9qMcldi9SiS6vqsPL96-8bn-572G_1zV0V8lw-liULzK7Nvl1fMnjH-ttbf9-86ezlWXQqf3RjZhB-mK_sBb8n-S6AKEpHYt5QQmqSEhnEYUZkynhAeU9qITBDB04PMGZAsy0lGFknUHsl_1Q9c0VhEDc6KC2Avbk30jqN1WhrAkCOGfp_V4UvZtoNRONVgeKNB3oWDd_ndil4fwYDvIciaoxcdiRlhMcm8mO5C8cqiKzbnHQU-E2l9lCn-iuM3QRb2og"><span style="color: #757575; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;"><img alt="Share" border="0" height="20" id="_x0000_i1030" src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_22,c_scale,f_png,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack.com%2Ficon%2FShareIcon%3Fv%3D2%26height%3D40%26stroke%3D%2523999999%26strokeWidth%3D2" style="border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-top-style: none; float: left; height: 20px; max-width: 11px; vertical-align: middle; width: auto;" width="11" /></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p align="center" class="button-wrapper" style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0in; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUtuOmzAQ_ZrwVgQ2AfLAwzaXNttNokhRtDwhMx5YJ2BTM2xCv75ms9qqkmWP52LPmXNAENbGjllnevKmraCxw0zjrW-QCK039GgLJbMw5sGcxZ7MIhmm89RTfVFZxFaoJiM7oNcNZaNAkDJ6KoiSNIm8t4xFGFULHpUlxKHACqIQeAqySio-lyl_fCsGqVADZviOdjQavSZ7I-r6GX-asY1bpRVSYmN07fdD2ZOAqw-mdZHpClaVOOMbMlfUM77C8TkEdh5fWXPdXsx9f9nd9qcte1k-d_nrUR0ua7a7rPnuAvfdpe637TmC5TbenfJxv9rdD6f1eFjelHjd_3H1Cn6e1cvpyA8rCLbqpoCf1eTP2VuTM3qX7s3q6L_QgiVPm1X9_JuCeziecvieQ3fohmW8FZ2pr5tfcU7HH2RmLB6oLVqUaminjqdJfjp7M1hwcFZf0L7dlKyRPuNgNKEml8DjxNHCAk9lLGDhZDMezRn3Qz_gcp6IiImQ8xJSYCDmlVwkyNJ0wVI2i4K2Zv9N07NZaYgatAauSD18kOISb8Y2UiP5gsh358S2a6NtB61oLFCLskH5EAI95PQBqKhRo3Uyk4UgJyIWJiwJWerE8SDeKeULg-tEGlels39k_wWHJeXK" native="" style="border-radius: 4px; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; display: inline-block; opacity: 1; outline: none;"><span style="background: #880000; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; color: white; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0in; padding: 0in;">Subscribe now</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<h2 style="-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; margin-bottom: 7.5pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 12.0pt; mso-line-height-alt: 13.9pt;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; font-size: 19.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">First:<o:p></o:p></span></h2>
<h3 style="-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; margin-bottom: 7.5pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 12.0pt; mso-line-height-alt: 13.9pt;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; font-size: 16.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">A Non-Socratic Dialogue:<o:p></o:p></span></h3>
<h4 style="-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; line-height: 13.9pt; margin-bottom: 7.5pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 12.0pt;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; font-size: 13.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Milton Friedman’s Influence Kept Right-Wing
Economists from Reverting to Full Crazed Liquidationist Nutjobs for 60 Years.
But Why Did It Then Decline So Fast in the Decade of the 2000s? <o:p></o:p></span></h4>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Claudia Sahm</span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">:
"<em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">We should have a
recession,</span></em>” John H. Cochrane said in November [2008], speaking to
students and investors. “People who spend their lives pounding nails in
Nevada need something else to do.” #yikes <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkEtuwzAMRE8TLQ3rY0leaNFNgaLoJj2AoQ-TGJElQ6IT-PaVa4AgNxxy5nmLcM9lN2uuSI424b6CSfCuERChkK1CmeZgqOT9wCQJRgSqB03mOt0KwGLnaLBsQNbNxdlbnHM6BEJpJcjDcM5v3rsxOBicFFKEUY9SjlT2VinLz7d2CzMkDwZeUPacgETzQFzrhX9c2Gcr7Hxu4-V-vx9f1x-8ktmwntHmijEuBsY72vU8DMoKZinnzmvPvB1uYVTAtB6ZZhfRL3fW1c1VtP7ZTi6kGJcRI5Tsn4DV__toi-9cYkiAnUXs2jwCTk2wbGnGfYJkXYRwZseT4D-N6Q4JSiMbJouNG6OKKcp043FmbXC4VIfvnjQnITdVMq7YECDmdP8Dn0OHng"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://t.co/vbSKhIRMtR</span></a>> by @delong <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkcFyhCAMhp9muelIUGEPHHrpazgIUWkRHIzd8e2L66HTGZIckn_y58MawjnlU29pJ3algc4NdcTXHpAIMzt2zIN3mvei6aBnTreOq04xvw9TRlyND5rygWw7xuCtIZ_iJWilki1b9NhwsEaN0Pa9FL2azNT3AqRSrlGT4PdacziP0aLGH8xnisiCXoi2_SE-HvBZ3piNcxhSnOv9GHcy9ru2aS2drURG43ycq6-0xCr4bcNMVYoVLVh555M9mdfQAC9HAIi2A1HzuhGuk6YFw4UYrbLFaDe5p0RQ6gkKHm2zzvBvH8t6TEQBc7LfSLt92y6Dr5SDi0i1IapLvXgMRbAe0dM5YDRjQHejohv4G94wY8RcPsINhgpm4BIkB1Xw3WgKS9HLy3fDihOXiirqPxy_8KKZVg"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://braddelong.substack.com/p/reading-john-lippert-on-the-idiocy</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Scott Gosnell</span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: I was
there. I may even have a recording down in the archives and may have sprained
my eyes I rolled them so hard.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Brad DeLong</span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: What!
Really? Tell me more…<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">I mean, private housing construction as a share of GDP had crashed
from its peak of 5.0% of GDP in 2005Q4 through its historical average of 3.4%
in 2007Q2, and had bottomed all the way down to 2.1% by 2008Q4, when Cochrane
was opining about too many people pounding nails in Nevada:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<div align="center"><figure style="display: inline-block; margin: 0 auto; width: 100%;">
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoNormalTable" style="mso-cellspacing: 0in; mso-padding-alt: 12.0pt 0in 19.2pt 0in; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184; width: 100%px;">
<tbody><tr style="mso-yfti-firstrow: yes; mso-yfti-irow: 0; mso-yfti-lastrow: yes;">
<td style="padding: 12.0pt 0in 19.2pt 0in;"></td>
<td style="padding: 12.0pt 0in 19.2pt 0in; width: 412.5pt;" width="550">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUsuOpDAM_JrmBkqcQMIhh9FK-xsoD8OggYRJwvT2fv2a5rRSZDsP25Uqe1txSflljlRqc5mpvg40EZ9lw1oxN2fBPK3B8EGwHoYmGBm47nWzlmnOiLtdN1Pzic1xum31tq4pXglSaSWbT6OCG0eAAEoG6RzIMQSpgNk5MMGdvdvaM6wYPRr8wfxKEZvNfNZ6lIf4eMBvWj7ErpyuVOu_Op92Olp3uyD5Gav_vDyVqekBv77vQHwsKQXaz9t05LRkLGX9QTovFfGgjLsF9FeT_mpDxp3-C-k-t8h657yWrbNWtFIobMee69YGJ8ChUqOWXRGd3e3fFO2z3Lioxs3FO3yDLO8Q3TCi7VU7MPCtHFC1DqVoiQdEhlKpmU1cC_mHMzZ0R1ya1QADTswDCNmD6HjHROiVlWC5EITOg7f9HEaFoPUIGh6S7Qv8x1WTjUu1bpjT9bfi31zTw2fKW4hYO1trR_4ScaKE_YxrfU0Yrdsw3PrWe0reik8LRsw0PWGylWYDuALFQZPmt540AGJQF27WEJKQKCsal20IuKW4_AMkkM54" target="_blank"><span style="border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0in; padding: 0in; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;"><img border="0" class="wide-image" data-attrs="{"src":"https://bucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/eb69ea57-602c-46e7-be43-031ee0e477f0_1834x1006.png","height":799,"width":1456,"resizeWidth":null,"bytes":135503,"alt":null,"title":null,"type":"image/png","href":null}" id="_x0000_i1031" src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/w_2912,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feb69ea57-602c-46e7-be43-031ee0e477f0_1834x1006.png" style="-ms-interpolation-mode: bicubic; border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-top-style: none; display: block; height: auto; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; margin-top: 0in; max-width: 550px; vertical-align: middle; width: 100%;" width="550" /></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="padding: 12.0pt 0in 19.2pt 0in;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</figure></div>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">How was it possible to say such a thing? How could he
avoid looking at graphs like this one, and noticing that residential
construction employment had already fallen from 150% to 60% of its normal
share even as he spoke?<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">And how did the audience react?<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Joe Marshall</span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: Holy
hell. What the f—- was wrong with these people?<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Scott Gosnell</span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: I
went to all of those econ talks at Gleacher while I lived in Chicago. The
noticeable thing about Cochrane was that he was very good at financial
economics, but fell apart when he tried to jump to macro. But of course
faculty could say all kinds of things without getting much skepticism. Being
a Mellon-style liquidationist was sort of edgy and cool among the
Republican-leaning economists at the time.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Brad DeLong</span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">:
Touché... One question I always ask Paul Krugman and company is: what
happened to the influence of Milton Friedman? No one was a stronger
anti-liquidationist than Milton Friedman.… The shift to
"liquidationism" as the default policy view of a Republican economist
(when Republicans were out of power, at least), seems to have happened
remarkably quickly in one decade, the 2000s, and without analysis and without
argument. How and why did this happen, that being a full-fledged Mellonian
became "edgy" and "cool"?<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Scott Gosnell: </span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">I think
it came swift on the heels of a Randian political moment. Where before,
Austrian economics would get you a glance askance, in 2008, it would get you
a $300+ bottle of wine at dinner with Paul Ryan.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Brad DeLong: </span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Touché...
The Hayek-Hoover-Mellon-Marx axis was a remarkable thing among Republican
economists... especially since nobody has ever been able to write down a
coherent overinvestment business-cycle model...<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Paul Krugman: </span></strong><em><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Hey, I
answered that question at length some years back</span></em><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;"> <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkEGPhCAMhX_NcDRSUPHAYTPJ3ua-N4NQHbIIBupO_PeLM0nTXvra9z5rCNeUT72nQuxqE5076oivEpAIMzsK5sk7zXvRdtAzp6XjqlPMl2nJiJvxQVM-kO3HHLw15FO8BHJQg2RPLVAsDtoFJJpuHBeHIyL0vQPRwsjl5605nMdoUeMf5jNFZEE_ifZyE183-K5FjU11PO7H6R-vn_vKvIYWeHUFIGQHouFNK1w3GAmGCzFbZcGabnHjgKDUCApust1WaMoxFzL2t57cWNZzIgqYk_1FKvbtoy6-Ug4uIjWGqKnzCjhVwXZET-eE0cwB3Sc7fQi-aUwrRsyVrJsMVW7ABxg4qMrjk7XCEf1w-W5ZdeJSVUU9Z-MchhTXf-axh-U"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://t.co/MCuyiMwXCg</span></a>>: Friedman tried
to save free-market economics from itself, admitting that the economy wasn’t
self-correcting but arguing that a rule that didn’t sound Keynesian would let
conservative avoid thinking about that…. But ultimately free-market
Keynesian, even disguised with a monetarist mask, wasn’t sustainable.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Jim Beller</span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">:
Having his disciples throwing people out of airplanes was a bad look.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Brad DeLong</span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: But,
Paul, as you note, Bernanke in 2002 and Mankiw in 2006 still saw Friedman as
“the economist of the century” <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkUuOxCAMRE_T7Cbil8AsWMxmrhHxcdKoCUTgTCu3H9KRLHtBlV16eIuwlnqavTQkV5vx3MFkeLcEiFDJ0aDOMRg2CTryiQQjA9OjJrHNSwXYbEwG6wFkP1yK3mIs-TJIpZUkzy4XXoOfVGATVarvUBOlcpnGRUrp3H3WHiFC9mDgD-pZMpBknoh7e4ifB__ttVZYN5tf8T24VNa2Fxx82foLp3Tqg7Hetpiw5K-lRghdPTxxSyQaTjnr8TkXcuRiYAMVYVRWcsuEcF577u24hG8FXOtvrvlD0m3lQztcQ-tf1yVSjSuICWrxL8DmP4G78F1qChlwsIhDnxeJuRu2I0c8Z8jWJQg3JLxRf7DNK2So_QvCbLED5kxxxbju4G4onaKY1JWbkp4klO7KxlUbAqSS13_TJZWy"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2006/11/milton-friedman.html</span></a>>
<<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwtkMFuwyAMhp-mHKNgkkAPHLau026b1geICDhpNAoVcTr17ee0kxD-QVh8_rwjnHK522teSGxbT_cr2oS_S0QiLGJdsPRzsLJTdQudCLYJ0rRGzEs_FsSLm6OlsqK4rkOcvaM5p62h0UY34my9RtBt2A_ejDiqeggdtjIoaTo0evTPb90aZkweLd6w3HNCEe2Z6Lrs1MsO3nmNGLC4WJCBblhN-caXr58v329vn4cT59PX8Xj4OG4R6hr-i5S14ShmC3zgEQBU04KqZFWr0GrXgJNKMZ0H79ox7JnXmD0Y2DX1ZYJqWYeFnP-pfL6IYodMFLFk_4O0-Ac0P_zNJYaEVDmiiutmo-eGy5pmuveY3BAxPEXRU_dDXT9h4rEIQ--IJYPUoCUYlvcUwyZVpzfuWjBJyNyV7FBcCBhzmv4AO3OUUA"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://federalreserve.gov/BOARDDOCS/SPEECHES/2002/20021108/</span></a>>.
They were fine with the “government should not interfere with the economy”
and “whatever is the monetary policy that happens to stabilize aggregate
demand is the true non-interfering ‘neutral’ monetary policy”. It was a con,
yes, but it was a successful con. And it is not clear that it was wrong as a
practical policy position…. JM Keynes (macro)-Henry Simons (antitrust)-AC
Pigou (externalities) is not that far from what you or I believe, or what
Milton Friedman believed—or, at least, would graciously concede in his old
age in outdoor lunch in North Beach if I could get him off of his hobbyhorses
of ‘k% rule’ & ‘government failure is almost always certain to be worse
than market failure.’<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">The way you put it in your 2013 piece is like this:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 12.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">If markets can go so wrong that they cause Great Depressions,
how can you be a free-market true believer on everything except macro? And as
American conservatism moved ever further right, it had no room for any kind
of interventionism, not even the sterilized, clean-room interventionism of
Friedman’s monetarism”.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">I think that is (a) right, (b) much too compressed, but (c)
ignores the problem of “where do you stop?” <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Having the government establish & maintain a
property-rights order & enforce contracts is, after all, a form of
“interference” to the anarcho-capitalists. And while there are some ACs who
want a contract dispute between you and me resolved by me “hiring” my police
force and you “hiring” ours and the two settling the dispute by the Final
Argument of Kings—thus going all the way back to full feudalism as society’s
organizing principle—most do not. Most stop being happy with police &
courts. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">So why is police & courts acceptable, while police &
courts & demand management is not?<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">I think it has something to do with Schumpeter, von Hayek, and
von Mises; the context of early–20th center Vienna; the idea that humans are
individuals for whom private property and one-shot exchange are “natural” (as
opposed to creatures that establish and cement societal bonds via ongoing
reciprocal gift-exchange relationships); the philosophical position that all
is for the best in this the best of all possible worlds; and the resulting
theological belief that:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 12.0pt; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">the market giveth; the market taketh away; blessed be the name
of the market…<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">In short, I think you are right, but I do not understand why
you are right.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">And here I know I am out of my depth, and I want to call for
people like Emma Rothschild and Glory Liu who are trained professionals to
help here, for they she might be able to teacheth me the lesson…<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p align="center" class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{"url":"https://braddelong.substack.com/p/a-non-socratic-dialogue-on-the-decline?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxNjMwNTI2LCJwb3N0X2lkIjozNjcwNTIyMCwiaWF0IjoxNjIxNzI3MTI4LCJpc3MiOiJwdWItNDc4NzQiLCJzdWIiOiJwb3N0LXJlYWN0aW9uIn0.nZ8ovkVt8Qt1RFlSXxl8TgNp5eBrw0o4afyz7Uev4XE","text":"Share","class":null}" style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0in; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkk2PmzAQhn9NuAWBDTEcOLS7jUS0odp2u0l7QcaeJE6MjcywLPn1NclWbSV_aB7P2OOZV3CEo3VT0dkeg3mpceqgMDD2GhDBBUMPrlayiFc0SskqkEUi4yzNAtXXBwfQcqULdAME3dBoJTgqa-aAhGUsCU4Fy2keZ0BWKYiUsYY1B8b4gcmcijwRq_uzfJAKjIAC3sBN1kCgixNi1y_opwVZ-9E4LiVoa45hPzQ9cnEJhW39SecnXxprlr0VzicgllJxbY8DLD3EEywlCK0MLOh6wLbu7eCENx7_XLQgq5m3INXQen771QcU1iAYnL1P3IGnXMx__AegvcBsw7SJBXmd9kRfyrN9r87bsXopydPDZmxoFX3wa3UWM5-2D6Piu3V09y3fq2tJty9l4v07Qbfqq9qMcldi9SiS6vqsPL96-8bn-572G_1zV0V8lw-liULzK7Nvl1fMnjH-ttbf9-86ezlWXQqf3RjZhB-mK_sBb8n-S6AKEpHYt5QQmqSEhnEYUZkynhAeU9qITBDB04PMGZAsy0lGFknUHsl_1Q9c0VhEDc6KC2Avbk30jqN1WhrAkCOGfp_V4UvZtoNRONVgeKNB3oWDd_ndil4fwYDvIciaoxcdiRlhMcm8mO5C8cqiKzbnHQU-E2l9lCn-iuM3QRb2og" style="border-radius: 4px; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; display: inline-block; opacity: 1; outline: none;"><span style="background: #880000; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; color: white; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0in; padding: 0in;">Share</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<h2 style="-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; margin-bottom: 7.5pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 12.0pt; mso-line-height-alt: 13.9pt;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; font-size: 19.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">One Video:<o:p></o:p></span></h2>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Sophie Wilson</span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">The Future of Microprocessors </span></em><<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkMGKxCAMhp-m3rZUbdU5eFhY5rrsExSrmU4Zq0XjlL792mkICYT85M9nDcIc06G3mJGcZcRjAx1gzx4QIZGSIY2L01TwbmCCON07qgZFljw-EsBqFq8xFSBbmfxiDS4xnIJeKtmTpzZUWDoM8FC94yCM4FyIW2drSCWsu86a4hYIFjS8IR0xAPH6ibjlhn837F5z3_f2iAXLBK2N6zkxaJ8Nv78b_iP8b9j-5vB1y2TRrGO0umWM9wPjLW077gZpemYo55NVllkzPNxNAlPqxhRr-m6dWZvLlNHY13mAJD1FRA8p2hdgth9_dXGPybsA2BrEtvbz8bEK1hIWPEYIZvLgLiZ4kf1QGmcIkCpxNxqsPBmVTFKmKqeLQYXGhTx9d6Q6cbGqgp6ScQ58DPM_ze6Qlg"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6lOnpQgn-9s</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 19.5pt;"><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkMGKxCAMhp-m3rZUbdU5eFhY5rrsExSrmU4Zq0XjlL792mkICYT85M9nDcIc06G3mJGcZcRjAx1gzx4QIZGSIY2L01TwbmCCON07qgZFljw-EsBqFq8xFSBbmfxiDS4xnIJeKtmTpzZUWDoM8FC94yCM4FyIW2drSCWsu86a4hYIFjS8IR0xAPH6ibjlhn837F5z3_f2iAXLBK2N6zkxaJ8Nv78b_iP8b9j-5vB1y2TRrGO0umWM9wPjLW077gZpemYo55NVllkzPNxNAlPqxhRr-m6dWZvLlNHY13mAJD1FRA8p2hdgth9_dXGPybsA2BrEtvbz8bEK1hIWPEYIZvLgLiZ4kf1QGmcIkCpxNxqsPBmVTFKmKqeLQYXGhTx9d6Q6cbGqgp6ScQ58DPM_ze6Qlg" target="_blank"><span style="text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;"><img border="0" id="_x0000_i1033" src="https://cdn.substack.com/image/youtube/w_550,c_limit/l_youtube_play_qyqt8q,w_120/6lOnpQgn-9s" style="-ms-interpolation-mode: bicubic; border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-top-style: none; display: block; height: auto; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; margin-top: 0in; max-width: 550px; vertical-align: middle; width: 100%;" /></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<h2 style="-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; margin-bottom: 7.5pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 12.0pt; mso-line-height-alt: 13.9pt;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; font-size: 19.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Very Briefly Noted:<o:p></o:p></span></h2>
<ul style="margin-top: 0in;" type="disc">
<li style="color: #1a1a1a; line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-top: 0in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in;"><strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Andrew Chaming</span></strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">‘I Was Looking at the Bones of
Great Beasts’: Astounding Discovery Made in Calif. Valley</span></em><<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkc2upCAQhZ-m2Wn4UcEFi9nMa5gSSptcBAPlmH77wdsJoQhw4JyvHBDuuXzsmSuxZ1roc6JNeNeIRFjYVbEswVsxKT7KiXk7eGFGw0JdtoJ4QIiWyoXsvNYYHFDI6REM2uiBvS1M8zDzSetZaK7ATTOMBuS8ci68NPD9Fi4fMDm0-A_LJydk0b6JzvpSf17ybxv3ffd125vj3uWjbcTsILYKhYKL2FZbrjXEbgvJd-0sbLmkAB2ux-W7Aypln1O3ttdrJyYxS655f75PFqzkUrR8UqphlKoXPVd-1DBIEEqtzjjpYNz8rFEaM0sjXwM_dtnXa60E7ufxxIpdM1HEkt0PUnW_idrFO5foE1IPRH2rD6qlCY4rBfosmGCN6L8U6duLX67LjglLS-wXoNYBKbTUQppG9kutYVaTfnxz1pz43FTJrgW8x5jT_h_LE6GS"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://www.sfgate.com/local/article/fossil-find-california-ebmud-mastodon-bones-16192070.php</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="color: #1a1a1a; line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-top: 0in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in;"><strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">J. Bradford
DeLong</span></strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">America’s Peacetime Inflation:
The 1970s </span></em><<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJw1kU2OhCAQhU_TLIkWKrhgMZu5huGntMkgGCjHePuhuzMJ4VUlvNSrD2cIt1xufeRK7HUtdB-oE141IhEWdlYsS_C6n0Q3wsS8HnyvRsVCXdaCuJsQNZUT2XHaGJyhkNPLMEglB_bUnffKK9XZ2fZuRly9nNd5Fghmld0wfcaa0wdMDjX-YrlzQhb1k-ioD_H1gO92ruviyWLhuWytrXcl3Fuxhoi1qXuaowV-l0qp6V_54VcWNHTQtwUAxDCC4D3vhB-lGcD0QlinHDgzrn6WCErNoOAxdPsGvJ62knE_3OWdFW0zUcSS3Q9Sde_I7eGVS_QJiRsi3vTFYmmG_UyB7gWTsRH9BxN9YL_BLRsmLO0T_GKoIYZeguxBNXQfLI2jmOQrd8daEp-bK2lbjPcYc9r-AHM8llc"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://www.nber.org/system/files/chapters/c8886/c8886.pdf</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="color: #1a1a1a; line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-top: 0in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in;"><strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Jonothon Hazell,
Juan Herreno, Emi Nakamura & John Steinnson</span></strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">The Slope of the Phillips Curve:
Evidence from U.S. States</span></em> <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkNtqxCAQhp9mvZQ4Jhv3wotSWij0otAHCB5mt2GNBp10ydt30gXxhP_4zRcc4a3U3a6lkTimifYVbcZHS0iEVWwN6zRHq866G-Asou2jMoMRc5uuFXFxc7JUNxTr5tMcHM0lH4F-NGMvfqwyMWinQuf9pQu-02DA9XA5m2sAP4Tnt26LM-aAFn-x7iWjSPaHaG0n_XKCdx64JOmx3jHhLjFux-34htnd3bJVx8fVrVgbb76J-_rkSun166PJNV7FbKEDxR0A6H4ALZXsdBxGJnFKax9MgOCGa7yMCMZcGPLUd8sNZNt8IxfuMpRFVOsLUcJawh2phX9mfvgoNcWMJB2R5PWQMXFg2fJM-8SUPmF8eqKn7X9z0w0zVqaNkyN2DGqEUYFhd08vLFKfx4O7E0wSC6ey9dXFiKnk2x_XsJfN"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://eml.berkeley.edu/~enakamura/papers/StateLevelCPIs.pdf</span></a>>
<<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkd2O4yAMhZ-m3C0iJgn0govRSPsaET9OB00CEThb9e3XaSVkg46POHxET_io7eWO2klcZaHXga7gs29IhE2cHduSkxtmrSaYRXJjGuxkRe7L2hB3nzdH7URxnGHL0VOu5TKMxppR_DgVA0xgTPRJaeUx2tlqCHac17v3dv1c68-UsUR0-A_bqxYUm_shOvpNf93gLy-MtdQ9xy6PlnmSapGYTlaexx_WCAvx4Ty26lPnHSgYuCnN5bvuIRdM8kiryO6S-DUAepxAy0EqnSbjR_CD1iHaCNFPa7obBGvvYOE2qv0Bsp-hk4-_MtZdNBcq0Yatxl-kHt_5efBZ25YKkvREkvsFZmHDfpZMrwWLDxumDzP6kH9TXB5YsPGPpMUT84bBgBnAMscPI4aqZ3PlVoKTpMqu4kLzKeFWy-M_um2bQQ"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://economics.princeton.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Combined.pdf</span></a>>
<<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkE9rwzAMxT9NfQyxnNTOwYdtMHYYhR0G2yn4j9aGOnbnyAv59nNaEJIQerzHzxnCc8qbvqWF2N5G2m6oI65LQCLMrCyYx8lrfhRtD0fmdee56hWblvEnI85mCppyQXYrNkzO0JTiLuikkh27aN7JQUqwXjmOphc4oB28NB0HO_ToH7am-AmjQ41_mLcUkQV9IbotB_F0gNda67o2WypULDYuzfXiLiZGDHX7fClfc__y6y4uPL9HP17fhu_T6YNNGlrgNTiA6HoQDW9a4fvqDoYLYZ1y4Ez_4weJoNQACg5dO5-hWYpdyLjr7sWytokoYE7uirS4e9T6uKYcfERqDFFT585grIK5xIm2EaOxAf0DDz0g34GNZ4yYK3w_GqpogUuQHFRF9sBR-Ymj3HO3rCbxqaqittl4jyHF8z-ahpTD"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCuXm5CqchclBLnd_kH9YNNQ</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="color: #1a1a1a; line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-top: 0in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in;"><strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Ragnar Nurkse</span></strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">International Currency
Experience: Lessons from the Interwar Period</span></em> <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJw1kNGKwyAQRb8mPgYdk5g--BBYCt23_YJgdJpKjRadbOnfr2lZEIVhLvd4rCFcU37pRyrEjmum1wN1xGcJSISZ7QXz7J0Wg-Q9DMzpzomxH5kv8zUjbsYHTXlH9tiX4K0hn-IR6NSoOnbTFuxJDdD1sr_KkxGi4xZR9XxYFAyWf2rN7jxGixp_Mb9SRBb0jehRGjk1cK5nSele2jWlNWBr0_Y_auTZu0Z-8ae4TD_TdJmmb-Y1cBAVGEB2PchWtFy6XpkOjJBysWPFMv3VnRTCOJ5ghKbj2wpt2ZdCxt6PCpb1kogC5mTvSMW-EeviM-XgIlJriNr6Hn-fa2Dbo6fXjNEsAd1HC33kvkXNK0bMVbqbDVWlIBQoAWNV9dFQvclBHdycVRKXairqJRvnMKS4_gGnFY_N"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://books.google.com/books?id=0w1IAQAAIAAJ</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="color: #1a1a1a; line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-top: 0in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in;"><strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Wikipedia</span></strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">Jing-Jin-Ji</span></em><<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlUU2P4yAM_TXl1iiYfNADhxlpR9q5zt4RATdlSiAizlT99-tMJfADy0-23_OOcC71adaykTiCpeeKJuNjS0iEVewbVhuDkYNqexhEMF2QutcibvZaERcXk6G6o1j3KUXvKJZ8ELpRj524GX91Xirf9dBppbRyEp2G4aLGyfV9519t3R4iZo8Gf7A-S0aRzI1o3U7q7QQffDA3j3iPK4bomlJnTh1_hs-Y5zMHvidQnFiOGsaPmJD5_6LL3zFbl4N9x8jP2f79-mphOP85t7KVfW9TnZvvdRbRQAuSNwVQPLJqZNOq0I-uAyeVmrz24F1_DZcRQesLaDh17TJDs-3TRs7fG18WUc1UiBLW4u9Im__djQsfpaaQkRpH1DAeolkmLHuO9LSY3ZQwvPSklyu_CtsZM1Z2K1hH7AXIEUYJmjV-6ceCq2E85m4FTxIKs7KZqgsBU8nzfzxtotI"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jing-Jin-Ji#/media/File:Tianjin_and_Beijing_ISS026-E-010155_lrg.jpg</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="color: #1a1a1a; line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-top: 0in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in;"><strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Conor Sen</span></strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">The Strongest Sign Yet That
Inflation Is Transitory</span></em>: ‘After a year of soaring prices,
some builders — and homebuyers — are beginning to step back. The rest of
the economy may follow suit… <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkcGOhCAMhp9muGkQcNADh73saxiE6pBBMFDX-PZbZxIChfC3f786i7Dmcpk9V2T3NuG1g0lw1giIUNhRoUzBm-4peS-ezBvlu6EfWKjTUgA2G6LBcgDbjzkGZzHkdAuUHrRiL6M76e2sehCDck5ycHwZ1eK16kbnn-O3rD18gOTAwB-UKydg0bwQ9_qQPw_xS-s8z3aOOW8zlLV1eaO3vIdE5SiyBYOLUCkUXHQN7xvB6YIvaCqWnFao2NSwpuYCbPBlsQlpiR-7TagNFptqQILBgrlTULdCSNUL2XYtl77XVgnbSTm7wQln-8WPmpoaRjGIh-LbKtp6zBWte9_2WDFzRoxQsnsDVvfpjz6euUSfAFuL2NJ5g5tIsB0p4DVBsnME_2WK38l8KE8rJCg0MT9ZpHmITgvdiYE4fxkSdPnUt2_OyInPpEpmLtZ7iETgH4C9p9M"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-05-20/the-strongest-sign-yet-that-inflation-is-transitory</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="color: #1a1a1a; line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-top: 0in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in;"><strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Duncan Black</span></strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">I Am So Tired Of Arguing With You
People</span></em>: ‘II admit sometimes I just can’t quite get myself to
argue, yet again, about some dumb thing that “we” definitely resolved in
2004. Of course nothing is ever resolved like that, but resolved in the
sense that everything that could possibly be said about it was said, but
then, like the cicadas, here it is again… <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkcGOrSAMhp_msNMAojALFndzX8NU6FEyCAbqGN9-cE7StEnTP_371QHhmsttj1yJPWmm-0Cb8KoRibCws2KZg7diGvgoJ-at8sKMhoU6vwviDiFaKiey41xicEAhp0egtNGKbdaAUlI7NHoSGpybkAuOanyD4CN3_LMWTh8wObT4g-XOCVm0G9FRX8O_l_zf4rquHqvbgHJaYl57l_fWllyKVvjYUuhg72ruKBT0XX53UNYzpLW7Am3dnc_uwHxE7DfaIwv20bajpBzUKIde9HzwowYlQQzD4oyTDsa3_9IojfmSRr4U31fZ13OpBO77scCKXTJRxJLdN1J1f2e0wSuX6BNSD0R9qw-fuQn2MwW6Z0ywRPQfdPR5wB_MecWEpT3Gz0ANuxRaaiFNw_lB1dgOk358c9ac-NxUyS4FvMeY0_oLrhmdtA"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://www.eschatonblog.com/2021/05/i-am-so-tired-of-arguing-with-you-people.html</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="color: #1a1a1a; line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-top: 0in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in;"><strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Nick Rowe</span></strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">Why There’s so Little Good
Evidence that Fiscal (or Monetary) Policy Works</span></em>: ‘Suppose a
fiscal authority is using F to try to keep Y at some target level….
There will be zero correlation between Y and F…. Even a moderate degree
of incompetence… doesn’t help us…. We will see correlations…. But these
correlations will not tell us what we want to know. All they tell us is
whether the fiscal authorities are systematically under- or
over-reacting… <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVUUuu5CAMPE2zI0ogv16wmM1cIzLgTlATiMB5rdx-nNerkRBelEtVrnJAuOZymSNXEve30HWgSfipEYmwiLNiWYI33ajbQY3Cm9538zCLUJdXQdwhREPlRHGcNgYHFHK6Cf00T73YzOwtaju87KTHQT2f6Kxz_QCuQ3Q4qq8snD5gcmjwB8uVE4poNqKjPvSfh_rL75MLbZ8tRGxujwf4xuX9P2BxkMAHYP0UKDCm2vbJo-3uve2StGHBKmuWMRBFlGvOXuJP8Lc4w0DyFaqDKHORO_sgKJc8Ml92SVZ612ajPYpgVKs6TkQp3Q9KN13Taj9M0CvotLZudsrB8PLPCdU8P9WsHn27r6qpp60E7n27F8XYfPso2b2RqvvNgBdZKXoWb4Co4XmHuzBhP_mwa8EENqL_5k7f9n6bWFZMWLhVvwBxZ6qb1NSpmbv45szF6HG6fbeCnfjMrGRsAe8x5rT-AykgtzQ"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://worthwhile.typepad.com/worthwhile_canadian_initi/2009/01/why-theres-so-little-good-evidence-that-fiscal-or-monetary-policy-works.html</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></li>
<li style="color: #1a1a1a; line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-top: 0in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list .5in;"><strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">John Maynard
Keynes</span></strong><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">The General Theory of Employment,
Interest and Money</span></em>: ‘If the State is able to determine the
aggregate amount of resources devoted to augmenting the instruments and
the basic rate of reward to those who own them, it will have
accomplished all that is necessary… <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkUGO5CAMRU9T7AYlDhRkwaI3c42IgCthikAJnEnn9k06EjJfFl_-fjhLuORymk-uxK4y0flBk_CoEYmwsL1imYI3_XPoJDyZN8L3WmoW6vQqiJsN0VDZkX32OQZnKeR0GYTSSrDVqHGWSoheaRillpean-PoJHpnZSfusXb3AZNDg_-xnDkhi2Yl-tTH8PWAv-0cx8E3W75DpcpzWVqr4AvL5Wq67vM_dNQUupzyFlxt-o1nwkssmLDY-IdWbPu2hltB8JU2Fgx00LfdAAYhYeA97wYvlRVg-2GYnXbQgr78qBC0HkHDQ3TbAryNrGTdm7u8sWLmTBSxZPdGqu53m_bwyCX6hMQtEW_3hWlqhm1Pgc4Jk50j-psg3f_wy3S6ExP6yVKjD70C1YNuVG9iDfHwVFfujrUkPjdXMnOx3mPMafkBsjygtw"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://www.marxists.org/reference/subject/economics/keynes/general-theory/ch24.htm</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></li>
</ul>
<p align="center" class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{"url":"https://braddelong.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&action=share","text":"Share Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality","class":null}" style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin: 0in; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;"><a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxVkdFqxCAQRb8mPoY4JtE8-FAo-xvB6GRXmuiiY5f9-5pNl1IQhTszeOZeawivMT31PWZixzXT84464CNvSISJlYxp9k7zUXQDjMzp3nE1KObzvCbE3fhNUyrI7mXZvDXkYzgGeqlkz256VeOi0EzSDisfcBkmJ3rs5cRxBO7U-a0pzmOwqPEb0zMGZJu-Ed1zIz4auNSzJOMcbjFc21yWTMZ-tTbuR1FcCu1zjiVZbMTnu9zAeOg7Ol_2qr9Yf0UbA2Ggo_tmElbV2IP8LTCvoQNeVwYQ_QCi5W0n3CBND4YLsVhlwZphdZNEUGoCBU3f7Vf4R8eSXiLRhinaL6RsX0vWxkdMmwtIrSFq63u4V6H2vQRPzxmDWTZ0p7F0xvPCn68YMNXY3GyohgJcguSgqtmnkdV5McqDu2OVxMU6FfSfeT9no6nR" style="border-radius: 4px; box-sizing: border-box; cursor: pointer; display: inline-block; opacity: 1; outline: none;"><span style="background: #880000; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; color: white; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0in; padding: 0in;">Share Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<h2 style="-moz-osx-font-smoothing: antialiased; -webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; margin-bottom: 7.5pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 12.0pt; mso-line-height-alt: 13.9pt;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Segoe UI",sans-serif; font-size: 19.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">Paragraphs:<o:p></o:p></span></h2>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Jiwon Choi, Ilyana Kuziemko, Ebonya
Washington, & Gavin Wright</span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">Local Economic and Political Effects
of Trade Deals: Evidence from NAFT</span></em>: ‘Counties whose 1990
employment depended on industries vulnerable to Mexican import competition
via the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) suffer large
employment losses (relative to the bottom quartile of counties, counties in
the top quartile of NAFTA exposure see 5–8 log-point declines in employ- ment
by 2000). Despite large employment losses, we can reject even modest
population declines. Trade-adjustment-aid relief rises, but covers a tiny
share of the job losses we document, and Disability Insurance in fact
displays a much larger response. Exposed counties (many in the upper South)
begin the period more Democratic in terms of votes in House elections, but as
NAFTA is debated in 1992–1994 they shift in the Republican direction and by
2000 vote majority-Republican in House elections. We show with a variety of
microdata, including 1992–1994 respondent-level panel data, that opposition
to free trade predicts shifts towards Republican party identification… <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">LINK: <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJxNkU2O4yAQhU8TdkEY_EMWLGYz10BlKNsoGNxQbitz-iGdWYyEKPTgiarvOSBcc3mZI1di783S60CT8KoRibCws2KxwZtuVGKQI_Om950eNAvVLgVxhxANlRPZcc4xOKCQ09vQT3rq2WawR6X94pwXOMpRPmCCDoQT7Rpn1X2-hdMHTA4NfmN55YQsmo3oqDf16yZ_t3VdFw9ffIPyDcVz9GcTlxCxtvpPvYevWv-T3ZbD_Xn-Cbg_8_2CuoW0Uk73q4R1I5tgIbBHjoGCq1Z7dFJIwQ-_sGDasWszS6n6QSrecaH8MEEvoVNqdtpJB8PiHxNKrR9Sy1sv9lXyes6VwD25yzsrZs5EEUt2T6TqfqZsD69cok9IHIh4q298thn2MwV6WUwwR_QfsvTJ54e1XTFhabl5C9RSkd0kp07qRvtDsqFX4_TuW7DWic_NlcxcwHuMOa1_AVqTq2E"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://www.iq.harvard.edu/files/harvard-iqss/files/choi-kuziemko-washington-wright_nafta_politics_8dec2020.pdf</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Matthew Yglesias</span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">Seventeen Points on Israel &
Palestine </span></em>: ‘As Joe Biden says, America is an idea…. not an
ethnostate…. The worst moments in our history trace specifically to the
politics of ethnic exclusion…. This is the greatest country on earth…. The
best country Jewish people have ever had in history…. The current iteration
of the Zionist project appeals mostly to believers in ethnic nationalism.
Ethnic nationalism is, as they say, Bad For The Jews…. I am a Jewish American
who likes his cosmopolitan liberalism, thank you very much. I find it
incredibly regrettable that hard nationalism is on the rise globally, and
think that it is leading to pain and misery that will only get worse if it
continues to gain steam…. The Israel-Palestine situation has its own unique
features, but it is also part of a fairly general trend toward hardening
sovereignty claims and deploying nationalism to mask official corruption… <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">LINK: <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlkMGOhCAMhp9mOBooKnjgsJd9DYPQccgwYKCu8e0Xx4TSpOnf_v2cJVxzOc2WK7Hrm-nc0CQ8akQiLGyvWObgjRglH2Bk3vRe6EGzUOdnQfzYEA2VHdm2LzE4SyGnS9ArrXr2MlzxcZJOcaufg5cc1KQFV7A4N7lRunut3X3A5NDgH5YzJ2TRvIi2-pA_D_ht7ziOrsZ8LLmEtHYuf1pxaxFqsRhZMMBBNI8Ash9AdqLj0g_K9mCFlIvTDpwdnn5SCFpPoOHR888KXd2XSta9r5msmCUTRSzZvZGq-7pqjUcu0SekzhJ1LV_nzk3w2VOgc8Zkl4j-JkE3zy-becWEpXH2s6VGEYQCJUA3OvflDZUc1eWbs-bE56ZKZinWe4w5rf-3Do0A"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://www.slowboring.com/p/israel</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">Dan Nexon</span></strong><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">: <em><span style="font-family: "Arial",sans-serif;">Against Great Power Competition</span></em>:
‘Biden underscored his intention to “work with Beijing when it’s in America’s
interests to do so,” but days later noted the likelihood of “extreme
competition” with China…. [Moreover,] Republicans are certain to criticize
the administration for being weak and ineffective in the face of
international challenges…. This is unfortunate. For all the concept’s
influence in recent years, great-power competition is not a coherent
framework for U.S. foreign policy…. Rivalries between leading states exist in
every international system…. With Washington’s unipolar status now on the
wane, powers such as China and Russia find it easier than they once did to
challenge U.S. leadership…. It is one thing, though, for Washington to observe
increasing competition among great powers and adjust to a world in which it
enjoys less influence than it once did. It is another entirely to elevate
competition itself to the guiding paradigm of U.S. foreign policy—as the
Trump administration proposed and Biden may wind up doing…. When adopted as a
foundational paradigm of foreign relations, great-power competition relegates
collaboration to an afterthought or, worse, dismisses it as naive… <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="line-height: 19.5pt; margin-bottom: 12.0pt; margin-left: 0in; margin-right: 0in; margin-top: 0in;"><span style="color: #1a1a1a; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 12.0pt;">LINK: <<a href="https://email.mg2.substack.com/c/eJwlUUuO7CAQO02zSxQ-CfSCxdu8a0QVqGTQ0BBBZaK-_cC0hPjalO1yQHjk8rZnrsT6tNL7RJvwrhGJsLCrYlmDt3yR0ywW5q3y3MyGhbruBfEFIVoqF7Lz2mJwQCGnTlDaaMW-rNmfGzeLUtxvGiRoPQlY9qXdGeX9_CkLlw-YHFr8wfLOCVm0X0Rnfch_D_G_jfu-xz0XDEeCfYdQ6ujyqz1AoeAi1ra9UiD0Q6Xmq5_FJPgwiYHPHXdASJWGoyDQcOYby9B-OJFC18yC7fBmUgipZiFHPk7SzxqUAC7l5owTDubdPzUKY57CiIeaXocY67W1ku67C2LFbpkoYsnuG6m6P1sNeOcSfUIagWhsa89rbYRXF_1eMcEW0X-ipE9D_sJdD0xYmiG_ArU2CK6F5sK0eD_RtazlorvuiTUlPjdWslsB7zHmdPwCuEWj5w"><span style="color: #1a1a1a;">https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2021-02-15/against-great-power-competition</span></a>><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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</tbody></table>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-92002732973410083752021-03-16T22:13:00.004-04:002021-05-23T21:26:03.355-04:00Why Is Economic Inequality Bad For Society?<p> <span style="background-color: white; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: -0.003em;">ANAND [GIRIDHARADAS]: Should billionaires exist?</span></p><section class="dc fi fj cx fk" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: inherit; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8); font-family: medium-content-sans-serif-font, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Oxygen, Ubuntu, Cantarell, "Open Sans", "Helvetica Neue", sans-serif; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><div class="n p" style="box-sizing: inherit; display: flex; justify-content: center;"><div class="aj ak al am an fl ap w" style="box-sizing: inherit; margin: 0px 64px; max-width: 680px; min-width: 0px; width: 680px;"><blockquote class="he hf hg" style="box-shadow: rgb(41, 41, 41) 3px 0px 0px 0px inset; box-sizing: inherit; margin: 0px 0px 0px -20px; padding-left: 23px;"><p class="hh hi hj hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="98e5" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; font-style: italic; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;"><span class="hk cp" style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 700;"><span class="fn" style="box-sizing: inherit; font-style: normal;">DJAFFAR [SCHALCHI]: </span></span><span class="fn" style="box-sizing: inherit; font-style: normal;">In a well-regulated, well-managed, and thriving economy without monopolies, they wouldn’t. Wealth is like manure: spread it, and it makes everything grow; pile it up, and it stinks.</span></p></blockquote><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="fc4d" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">(<a class="bq ig" href="https://the.ink/p/the-american-dream-is-now-in-denmark" rel="noopener nofollow" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: inherit;">https://the.ink/p/the-american-dream-is-now-in-denmark</a>)</p><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="c3dd" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">The first problem with gross economic inequality is that it is unjust. Whether you are trying to cr<span id="rmm" style="box-sizing: inherit;">e</span>ate a society that offers the greatest good to the greatest number (Utilitarianism), or designing a society such that you would choose to live in it as a member without knowing what your role in that society would be (Rawls), or even just a free society in which we have mutual benefit and self-interest rightly understood (Locke, Mill, <em class="hj" style="box-sizing: inherit;">et al</em>), we have no reason to favor me over you simply because I have greater wealth, or because of who my parents happen to be, or any other random thing. As it should be with society, so it should be with the markets, which are structures within society.</p><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="e897" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">Now, we might have reasons not to make everyone exactly equal. For example, economic growth tends to be greater when there are incentives for doing economically productive things. The enforcement or transaction costs might be very high. The benefits of corruptly evading these rules of equality would also grow very large.</p><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="ddb2" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">What’s interesting is that these same costs show up at the other end of the economic distribution scale. If we have an incremental $1000 to incentivize someone to work harder to generate economic goods, we should not send it to a billionaire (who will not notice it), but to someone at the lower end of the income distribution (for whom it will make an enormous difference). If there are a few wealthy oligarchs and a lot of starving serfs, the oligarchs are going to have to hire a lot of guards and police to protect their estates. The Panama Papers showed trillions of wealth funneled through offshore shell corporations to avoid taxes.</p><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="6cbf" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">The second problem with extreme inequality is that it is inefficient. For the reasons outlined above, it results in worse overall outcomes and in slower growth. In addition, the ability to claim all or even most of the gains to productivity can only result when there is unequal market power. As Schalchi says in the quote above, “ Wealth is like manure: spread it, and it makes everything grow; pile it up, and it stinks.” To have billionaires and paupers in the same society, you must have monopolies/oligopolies/cartels controlling large sectors of the economy, rather than having many small firms that perform slightly better or worse than one another, as in perfect competition or monopolistic competition (variegated production). Monopolies are inherently inefficient, creating deadweight loss by underproducing and overcharging relative to competitive companies. Many monopolies are also monopsonies, underpaying and underbuying labor and other inputs. All of this is just classic free market economics.</p><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="745f" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">Third, the “trickle down” justification for giving tax cuts to the rich and corporations has failed. The LSE study linked below and summarized in the CBS article shows that across the OECD countries, tax cuts for the wealthy have produced zero benefit.</p><figure class="ii ij ik il im in et eu paragraph-image" style="box-sizing: inherit; clear: both; margin: 56px auto 0px;"><div class="io ip ah iq w ir" role="button" style="box-sizing: inherit; cursor: zoom-in; position: relative; transition: transform 300ms cubic-bezier(0.2, 0, 0.2, 1) 0s; width: 680px; z-index: auto;" tabindex="0"><div class="et eu ih" style="box-sizing: inherit; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; max-width: 1152px;"><div class="ix s ah iy" style="background-color: #f2f2f2; box-sizing: inherit; margin: auto; position: relative;"><div class="iz ja s" style="box-sizing: inherit; height: 0px; padding-bottom: 435.025px;"><div class="dv is fd em ej it w iu iv iw" style="box-sizing: inherit; height: 435.025px; left: 0px; opacity: 0; overflow: hidden; position: absolute; top: 0px; transform: translateZ(0px); transition: opacity 100ms ease 400ms; width: 680px; will-change: transform;"><img alt="" class="fd em ej it w jb jc at se" height="737" role="presentation" src="https://miro.medium.com/max/60/0*VBTOZBpLpmXojepA?q=20" style="box-sizing: inherit; filter: blur(20px); height: 435.025px; left: 0px; position: absolute; top: 0px; transform: scale(1.1); transition: visibility 0ms ease 400ms; vertical-align: middle; visibility: hidden; width: 680px;" width="1152" /></div><img alt="" class="pe qh fd em ej it w c" height="737" role="presentation" sizes="700px" src="https://miro.medium.com/max/1440/0*VBTOZBpLpmXojepA" srcset="https://miro.medium.com/max/345/0*VBTOZBpLpmXojepA 276w, https://miro.medium.com/max/690/0*VBTOZBpLpmXojepA 552w, https://miro.medium.com/max/800/0*VBTOZBpLpmXojepA 640w, https://miro.medium.com/max/875/0*VBTOZBpLpmXojepA 700w" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: inherit; height: 435.025px; left: 0px; opacity: 1; position: absolute; top: 0px; transition: opacity 400ms ease 0ms; vertical-align: middle; width: 680px;" width="1152" /></div></div></div></div></figure><figure class="ii ij ik il im in et eu paragraph-image" style="box-sizing: inherit; clear: both; margin: 56px auto 0px;"><div class="et eu je" style="box-sizing: inherit; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; max-width: 623px;"><div class="ix s ah iy" style="background-color: #f2f2f2; box-sizing: inherit; margin: auto; position: relative;"><div class="jf ja s" style="box-sizing: inherit; height: 0px; padding-bottom: 359px;"><div class="dv is fd em ej it w iu iv iw" style="box-sizing: inherit; height: 359px; left: 0px; opacity: 0; overflow: hidden; position: absolute; top: 0px; transform: translateZ(0px); transition: opacity 100ms ease 400ms; width: 623px; will-change: transform;"><img alt="" class="fd em ej it w jb jc at se" height="359" role="presentation" src="https://miro.medium.com/max/60/0*ybP82aloKqZEWH_n?q=20" style="box-sizing: inherit; filter: blur(20px); height: 359px; left: 0px; position: absolute; top: 0px; transform: scale(1.1); transition: visibility 0ms ease 400ms; vertical-align: middle; visibility: hidden; width: 623px;" width="623" /></div><img alt="" class="pe qh fd em ej it w c" height="359" role="presentation" sizes="623px" src="https://miro.medium.com/max/779/0*ybP82aloKqZEWH_n" srcset="https://miro.medium.com/max/345/0*ybP82aloKqZEWH_n 276w, https://miro.medium.com/max/690/0*ybP82aloKqZEWH_n 552w, https://miro.medium.com/max/779/0*ybP82aloKqZEWH_n 623w" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: inherit; height: 359px; left: 0px; opacity: 1; position: absolute; top: 0px; transition: opacity 400ms ease 0ms; vertical-align: middle; width: 623px;" width="623" /></div></div></div></figure><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="67d4" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">Beginning in 1974 and accelerating in 1980, the relationship between productivity and median household income broke down, coincident with the advent of large tax cuts for the wealthy and the decline of labor power. All of the gains gravitated to the top of the income distribution.</p><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="4b4d" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">Lower taxes did not produce the boost to growth rates that was promised, or any additional growth at all for most people. The benefit was eaten up by the shareholding class — that’s me, not you.</p><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="d6c9" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">Looking at the Rand study linked below, you can find out what your income would be, if the United States were only as unequal in 2018 as it was in 1974:</p><figure class="ii ij ik il im in et eu paragraph-image" style="box-sizing: inherit; clear: both; margin: 56px auto 0px;"><div class="io ip ah iq w ir" role="button" style="box-sizing: inherit; cursor: zoom-in; position: relative; transition: transform 300ms cubic-bezier(0.2, 0, 0.2, 1) 0s; width: 680px; z-index: auto;" tabindex="0"><div class="et eu jg" style="box-sizing: inherit; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; max-width: 911px;"><div class="ix s ah iy" style="background-color: #f2f2f2; box-sizing: inherit; margin: auto; position: relative;"><div class="jh ja s" style="box-sizing: inherit; height: 0px; padding-bottom: 156.75px;"><div class="dv is fd em ej it w iu iv iw" style="box-sizing: inherit; height: 156.75px; left: 0px; opacity: 0; overflow: hidden; position: absolute; top: 0px; transform: translateZ(0px); transition: opacity 100ms ease 400ms; width: 680px; will-change: transform;"><img alt="" class="fd em ej it w jb jc at se" height="210" role="presentation" src="https://miro.medium.com/max/60/0*XkzPiKcwHu2YeumQ?q=20" style="box-sizing: inherit; filter: blur(20px); height: 156.75px; left: 0px; position: absolute; top: 0px; transform: scale(1.1); transition: visibility 0ms ease 400ms; vertical-align: middle; visibility: hidden; width: 680px;" width="911" /></div><img alt="" class="pe qh fd em ej it w c" height="210" role="presentation" sizes="700px" src="https://miro.medium.com/max/1139/0*XkzPiKcwHu2YeumQ" srcset="https://miro.medium.com/max/345/0*XkzPiKcwHu2YeumQ 276w, https://miro.medium.com/max/690/0*XkzPiKcwHu2YeumQ 552w, https://miro.medium.com/max/800/0*XkzPiKcwHu2YeumQ 640w, https://miro.medium.com/max/875/0*XkzPiKcwHu2YeumQ 700w" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: inherit; height: 156.75px; left: 0px; opacity: 1; position: absolute; top: 0px; transition: opacity 400ms ease 0ms; vertical-align: middle; width: 680px;" width="911" /></div></div></div></div></figure><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="c6c4" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">Would you have been better off? Almost certainly. Calculate how much our gross wealth inequality costs <span class="hk cp" style="box-sizing: inherit; font-weight: 700;"><em class="hj" style="box-sizing: inherit;">your family in particular every year, </em></span>by looking at that counterfactual column and subtracting your income for 2018.</p><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="b54e" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">Would you be better off going forward if we took steps to reverse the concentration of wealth at the very top, by making government policies lift up the average and below? Almost certainly.</p><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="bd5b" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">So, what’s your argument in favor of the current system and against a more equitable one again?</p></div></div></section><div class="n p cm ji jj jk" role="separator" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: inherit; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8); display: flex; font-family: medium-content-sans-serif-font, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Oxygen, Ubuntu, Cantarell, "Open Sans", "Helvetica Neue", sans-serif; justify-content: center; margin-bottom: 14px; margin-top: 32px; padding-bottom: 10px; padding-top: 24px;"><span class="jl bw dq jm jn jo" style="background-color: #080808; border-radius: 50%; box-sizing: inherit; display: inline-block; height: 3px; margin-right: 20px; width: 3px;"></span><span class="jl bw dq jm jn jo" style="background-color: #080808; border-radius: 50%; box-sizing: inherit; display: inline-block; height: 3px; margin-right: 20px; width: 3px;"></span><span class="jl bw dq jm jn" style="background-color: #080808; border-radius: 50%; box-sizing: inherit; display: inline-block; height: 3px; width: 3px;"></span></div><section class="dc fi fj cx fk" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: inherit; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.8); font-family: medium-content-sans-serif-font, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Oxygen, Ubuntu, Cantarell, "Open Sans", "Helvetica Neue", sans-serif; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><div class="n p" style="box-sizing: inherit; display: flex; justify-content: center;"><div class="aj ak al am an fl ap w" style="box-sizing: inherit; margin: 0px 64px; max-width: 680px; min-width: 0px; width: 680px;"><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="1976" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;">Rand Study: <a class="bq ig" href="https://www.rand.org/pubs/working_papers/WRA516-1.html" rel="noopener nofollow" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: inherit;">U.S. Economic Growth Has Not Been Shared Evenly Since 1974</a></p><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="8031" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;"><a class="bq ig" href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tax-cuts-rich-50-years-no-trickle-down/" rel="noopener nofollow" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: inherit;">50 years of tax cuts for the rich failed to trickle down, economics study says — CBS News</a></p><p class="hh hi fn hk b hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu hv hw hx hy hz ia ib ic id ie if dc dx" data-selectable-paragraph="" id="df1d" style="box-sizing: inherit; color: #292929; font-family: charter, Georgia, Cambria, "Times New Roman", Times, serif; font-size: 21px; letter-spacing: -0.003em; line-height: 32px; margin: 2em 0px -0.46em; word-break: break-word;"><a class="bq ig" href="http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/107919/1/Hope_economic_consequences_of_major_tax_cuts_published.pdf" rel="noopener nofollow" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: inherit;">Working Paper 55 (lse.ac.uk)</a> Economic Consequences of Major Tax Cuts</p></div></div></section>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-61266675792868935832021-03-07T22:24:00.001-05:002021-03-07T22:24:46.776-05:00Links for Later 3-7-2021<p></p><ol style="text-align: left;"><li> <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tax-cuts-rich-50-years-no-trickle-down/">50 years of tax cuts for the rich failed to trickle down</a>; <a href="http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/107919/1/Hope_economic_consequences_of_major_tax_cuts_published.pdf">the journal article.</a></li><li><p><a href="https://www.rand.org/pubs/working_papers/WRA516-1.html">U.S. Economic Growth Has Not Been Shared Evenly Since 1974</a></p></li><li><blockquote><p><b>ANAND [GIRIDHARADAS]: Should billionaires exist?</b></p><p><b>DJAFFAR [SCHALCHI]: </b>In a well-regulated, well-managed, and thriving economy without monopolies, they wouldn’t. Wealth is like manure: spread it, and it makes everything grow; pile it up, and it stinks.</p><p><a href="https://the.ink/p/the-american-dream-is-now-in-denmark">The American dream is now in Denmark - The.Ink</a></p></blockquote></li></ol><p></p>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-82759422677803650212021-03-07T19:45:00.002-05:002021-03-07T19:45:36.317-05:00William Gibson & Cory Doctorow in Conversation about Agency & Peripheral<p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><iframe allowfullscreen="" class="BLOG_video_class" height="402" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/ijGkwzrE1MY" width="484" youtube-src-id="ijGkwzrE1MY"></iframe></div><br /> <p></p>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-15061470740744880392021-02-14T10:52:00.002-05:002021-02-14T10:52:31.892-05:00Lyle's lesson on envy<p> </p><h1 class="quoteText"><span style="font-size: small; font-weight: normal;"> “You burn to have your photograph in a tennis magazine.”<br /><br />“I’m afraid so.”<br /><br />“Why again exactly, now?”<br /><br />“I guess to be felt about as I feel about those players with their pictures in magazines.”<br /><br />“Why?”<br /><br />“Why? I guess to give my life some sort of meaning, Lyle.”<br /><br />“And how would this do this again?”<br /><br />“Lyle,
I don’t know. I do not know. It just does. Would. Why else would I burn
like this, clip secret pictures, not take risks, not sleep or pee?”<br /><br />“You
feel these men with their photographs in magazines care deeply about
having their photographs in magazines. Derive immense meaning.”<br /><br />“I do. They must. I would. Else why would I burn like this to feel as they feel?”<br /><br />“The meaning they feel, you mean. From the fame.”<br /><br />“Lyle, don’t they?”<br /><br />“LaMont,
perhaps they did at first. The first photograph, the first magazine,
the gratified surge, the seeing themselves as others see them, the
hagiography of image, perhaps. Perhaps the first time: enjoyment. After
that, do you trust me, trust me: they do not feel what you burn for.
After the first surge, they care only that their photographs seem
awkward or unflattering, or untrue, or that their privacy, this thing
you burn to escape, what they call their privacy is being violated.
Something changes. After the first photograph has been in a magazine,
the famous men do not enjoy their photographs in magazines so much as
they fear that their photographs will cease to appear in magazines. They
are trapped, just as you are.”<br /><br />“Is this supposed to be good news? This is awful news.”<br /><br />“LaMont, are you willing to listen to a Remark about what is true?”<br /><br />“Okey-dokey.”<br /><br />“The truth will set you free. But not until it is finished with you.”<br /><br />“Maybe I ought to be getting back.”<br /><br />“LaMont,
the world is very old. You have been snared by something untrue. You
are deluded. But this is good news. You have been snared by the delusion
that envy has a reciprocal. You assume that there is a flip-side to
your painful envy of Michael Chang: namely Michael Chang’s enjoyable
feeling of being-envied-by-LaMont-Chu. No such animal.”<br /><br />“Animal?”<br /><br />“You burn with hunger for food that does not exist.”<br /><br />“This is good news?”<br /><br />“It
is the truth. To be envied, admired, is not a feeling. Nor is fame a
feeling. There are feelings associated with fame, but few of them are
any more enjoyable than the feelings associated with envy of fame.”<br /><br />“The burning doesn’t go away?”<br /><br />“What
fire dies when you feed it? It is not fame itself they wish to deny you
here. Trust them. There is much fear in fame. Terrible and heavy fear
to be pulled and held, carried. Perhaps they want only to keep it off
you until you weigh enough to pull toward yourself.”<br /><br />“Would I sound ungrateful if I said this doesn’t make me feel very much better at all?”<br /><br />“LaMont,
the truth is that the world is incredibly, incredibly, unbelievably
old. You suffer with the stunted desire caused by one of its oldest
lies. Do not believe the photographs. Fame is not the exit from any
cage.”<br /><br />“So I’m stuck in the cage from either side. Fame or tortured envy of fame. There’s no way out.”<br /><br />“You might consider how escape from a cage must surely require, foremost, awareness of the fact of the cage.”
</span></h1>
<br /> ―
<span class="authorOrTitle">
David Foster Wallace,
</span>
<span id="quote_book_link_6759">
<a class="authorOrTitle" href="https://www.goodreads.com/work/quotes/3271542">Infinite Jest</a></span>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-57661531838575021312020-12-18T10:58:00.002-05:002020-12-18T11:01:38.260-05:00The Books of 2020<p><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgcAuGxoIaoLKN_oxXOYOZGgr9sHNCUdmEggeTVk-4ROrDgm3Ga_Vhha8ZZ7Ehlb1R9486i8Heemp1xbJdcu3weK-pqSEOYcETkZgvmQmqAD3p9fuOcXJnWogL3Tp6GSzUU-_A2/s750/2020+Books+late.JPG" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-align: left;"><img border="0" data-original-height="750" data-original-width="526" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgcAuGxoIaoLKN_oxXOYOZGgr9sHNCUdmEggeTVk-4ROrDgm3Ga_Vhha8ZZ7Ehlb1R9486i8Heemp1xbJdcu3weK-pqSEOYcETkZgvmQmqAD3p9fuOcXJnWogL3Tp6GSzUU-_A2/w280-h400/2020+Books+late.JPG" width="280" /></a><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpjaRbLwG4XnCuwXZEMUZZfcaLMurDjxTIZbnhks5hcSF-Y5T7WQmIFzYxh1F013wPARS2c1JAQ3KwdVGPysTrKU08nrXFRrFDzzeB4yxC__WkVFHw8aBpKbrjoMKwQMbWpdQ_/s737/2020+books+middle.JPG" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-align: center;"> </a></p>
<p><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpjaRbLwG4XnCuwXZEMUZZfcaLMurDjxTIZbnhks5hcSF-Y5T7WQmIFzYxh1F013wPARS2c1JAQ3KwdVGPysTrKU08nrXFRrFDzzeB4yxC__WkVFHw8aBpKbrjoMKwQMbWpdQ_/s737/2020+books+middle.JPG" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="737" data-original-width="527" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpjaRbLwG4XnCuwXZEMUZZfcaLMurDjxTIZbnhks5hcSF-Y5T7WQmIFzYxh1F013wPARS2c1JAQ3KwdVGPysTrKU08nrXFRrFDzzeB4yxC__WkVFHw8aBpKbrjoMKwQMbWpdQ_/w286-h400/2020+books+middle.JPG" width="286" /></a><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpjaRbLwG4XnCuwXZEMUZZfcaLMurDjxTIZbnhks5hcSF-Y5T7WQmIFzYxh1F013wPARS2c1JAQ3KwdVGPysTrKU08nrXFRrFDzzeB4yxC__WkVFHw8aBpKbrjoMKwQMbWpdQ_/s737/2020+books+middle.JPG" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-align: center;"></a></p>
<p><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEioe1cT89B689jJzs6XcUergvMT8bPwYeGt3_Pnjsy5fplVRXER_fGrzqG9VxlUdEZvKiSGxo19XvMQmHbZETRT1wVINoo4xX3mlulGH0tPETFClKTVkOmkSpP8rkcT_JMOl2TR/s523/2020+Books+early.JPG" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-align: left;"><img border="0" data-original-height="446" data-original-width="523" height="226" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEioe1cT89B689jJzs6XcUergvMT8bPwYeGt3_Pnjsy5fplVRXER_fGrzqG9VxlUdEZvKiSGxo19XvMQmHbZETRT1wVINoo4xX3mlulGH0tPETFClKTVkOmkSpP8rkcT_JMOl2TR/w266-h226/2020+Books+early.JPG" width="266" /></a></p><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><br /><p></p>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-38104910935579846762020-05-05T16:54:00.000-04:002020-05-05T16:54:48.190-04:00Coronavirus DashboardUseful links for COVID-19 outbreak<br />
<br />
Spreadsheet of US coronavirus numbers by state: <a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18oVRrHj3c183mHmq3m89_163yuYltLNlOmPerQ18E8w/htmlview?sle=true#">https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18oVRrHj3c183mHmq3m89_163yuYltLNlOmPerQ18E8w/htmlview?sle=true#</a> from <a href="https://covidtracking.com/">https://covidtracking.com/</a><br />
<br />
<span style="color: #000032;">Johns Hopkins tracking map: <a href="https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html">https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html</a></span><br />
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<br />scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-77659175384075623752020-05-05T11:29:00.003-04:002020-05-05T11:29:36.410-04:00What's the Point of Continuing the Shutdown?Over on Facebook, Kathy asks:<br />
<blockquote class="tr_bq">
Since "flattening the curve" was always about not overwhelming the hospitals and never about preventing the incidence of the disease, then what are we doing now? Put another way, how is opening gradually different than opening suddenly, if the end result is that we'll all eventually end up out in stores and restaurants anyhow while the disease is just as present and threatening?
Seems like the only different outcome of a slower opening is further destruction of the economy. What am I missing?</blockquote>
<br />
<br />
During March, COVID infections were doubling rapidly and at an increasing rate (7 days, 5 days, 3 days), with ~20% needing hospitalization, and killing ~1-2%. That would have overwhelmed ICU/hospital capacity within a few weeks and resulted in ~1,000,000 dead in the US if nothing were done. So we did something: the shutdown. And so far, it's kept infection down within capacity almost everywhere (and spare capacity could be shuffled around).<br />
That plateau also means the R0 number dropped to somewhere between 1.2 and 0.9 in the country as a whole because of the whole social distancing + Stay At Home program. Under local conditions where it's much higher, such as in institutions where distancing isn't possible (prisons, nursing homes, meat packing plants), once the virus gets inside the building, we get a cluster like the 2,000 at the prison in Marion. (This is why large gatherings will be the last to come back.)<br />
Now, we can either loosen up or try for a "suppression strategy". If we had 100% compliance everywhere, infections would have gone to zero in 2-4 weeks, and we would be done. Wuhan managed it in about 35 days from peak, or about 80 days from start of lockdown If we get good (~60-80%) compliance, the R0 goes below 0.9 and the virus can't reproduce fast enough and dies slowly. If you loosen up a little, you may be able to stay under 1.2 and the virus will continue as it is; more than that, and you'll soon lose your grip on it entirely.<br />
In the original models I looked at, that would take the US good compliance and coordination from March through June, at minimum.<br />
If you can't keep everything closed up until the virus dies altogether, you can suppress it until it gets rare enough that you can test everybody and then track contacts. Only infected people would then have to be isolated, and then only until they're no longer infectious. Germany and New Zealand are at or near this stage now.<br />
On the economic side, the thing to realize is that consumer/household consumption drives the economy. Shutting down businesses that would not have consumers, and those whose workers would soon become sick if not at home, is essentially a protective maneuver, putting the businesses in suspended animation rather than allowing them to fail. Paying people not to work under these conditions is a form of social insurance, just like paying people laid off due to flooding or a tornado that destroyed their workplace. It has the additional benefit of keeping money flowing through the economy, so there's demand. Where there's demand, there will eventually be supply to meet it. It doesn't work well the other way around (keeping supply high, but letting demand stay low) because the companies would have no one to sell to.scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-74111491331472606762020-04-12T09:36:00.002-04:002020-04-16T21:07:36.814-04:00How and Why to Save the Post Office<div class="" data-block="true" data-editor="2q26v" data-offset-key="3stcu-0-0" style="background-color: white; color: #1d2129; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
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<span data-offset-key="3stcu-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">As many of you know, the Post Office is in dire straits due to the quarantine shutdown reducing their letter & package volume by 50%. As you may not know, they've been in dire straits for a while due to the 2006 PAEA bill that requires them to prefund retirement benefits for all their employees for the next 70 YEARS, two to three times as long as most pension funds do. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">As a result, if something is not done to help, the Post Office will have to shut down in June 2020. Many of you are dependent on the Postal Service to deliver medicine, food, and other necessities. For small businesses, postal delivery is the only viable link they have to deliver to customers, and postal delivery completes the eCommerce loop for every online business in America. For many rural communities, no commercial package delivery service can profitably offer last mile delivery to and from your doorstep.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">The President and Senate Majority Leader have blocked funding to keep the Post Office running during this time of crisis. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">It was part of the Coronavirus Recovery Package that found Boeing important enough to bail out, but not the government run Post Office.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: inherit;">So here's a three point plan to Save the Post Office:</span></div>
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<ol>
<li><span data-offset-key="3fgb5-0-0" style="font-family: inherit;">Buy some stamps at <a href="http://usps.com/">usps.com</a> </span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: inherit;">Send your Congressperson and Senators a postcard or letter each, telling them why you like the Post Office and how you depend on its service. Recommend that they fund the Post Office rescue and repeal the 2006 PAEA pension requirements. Do this once a week until it happens.</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: inherit;">Send a postcard or letter to your friends, sharing something about your life during quarantine or just reaching out to them, and asking them to participate in this effort to save the Post Office, if they happen to like getting and sending mail and packages like this. (Most people do.)</span></li>
</ol>
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scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-61725127771710118462020-03-14T10:09:00.002-04:002020-03-14T10:09:33.981-04:00A Time-Traveller's Letter<div class="ui_qtext_para u-ltr u-text-align--start" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; color: #333333; direction: ltr; display: block; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; margin: 0px 0px 1em; orphans: 2; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">
<span style="font-family: inherit;">Hello to the me who is just about to graduate from high school. This is your older self from 2020. I am writing this letter as part of a time travel experiment that resets my timeline to this date; although you should retain all of my memories if all goes according to plan, this letter is a backup. Diagrams and instructions for how to build the time machine and repeat the experiment are appended to this letter, in case you need to reboot your life again and this timeline doesn’t work out.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Also enclosed, find a picture of us at my age, holding a picture of us at your age, located in front of a building that does not exist in your time, both as verification that I am the future you, and just for the general wow factor. As further verification, in the next few months, the Berlin Wall and the rest of the Iron Curtain will fall, at about the time that your hallmates are playing the Indigo Girls’ “Closer to Fine”, which has not yet been released. A condensed personal and general history of the future follows […].</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Here are thirty people close to you whose lives you can save or who you can spare from years of suffering with ten minutes or less of effort at the right time […] If you’re not worried about altering the timeline in big ways, here are ten points at which a small change could have produced a big change for the better[…]</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Be on the lookout for other opportunities to help other people in a simple way, especially when you are in a rush to do something else. It is better to be kind and useful than to appear clever or funny or cool. There will be many more opportunities for the latter than the former in this life.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Someone needs to help, and you are someone. If something needs to be done, and you cannot find anyone else to do it, you have just volunteered.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Run toward what you fear. You fear will shrink and you will grow.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Procrastination, writer’s block, and general inertia will eat up an unconscionable amount of your life until you realize that these are just illusory. There’s nothing to them but what you pretend is there. There is always a best thing that needs to be done at this time, so do that, and then do the next thing.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Start keeping a journal. Take more photos. Write a targeted number of words every day—1000 words a day will stack like bricks into a book. You’re a good writer, but if you revise your writing, then B papers will become A papers. Start writing earlier to allocate time for that. Editing is like Photoshop or darkroom work—it will allow you to pull things into focus or blur them, dodge and burn, until the work looks like what you want it to.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">You’re naturally cautious, so you should generally say yes to every opportunity. You’re generally cooperative, so you should generally say no to sales pitches. The harder someone tries to sell you, the less worthwhile the product. Learn how to sell gently.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">You like to pretend to be uptight, to the point where you forget it’s an act sometimes. Pretend to be extremely laid-back and mellow instead and see how that goes.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Take the harder class; it’s easier. Take the better-paying job; it’s no harder.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">If someone is better at something you have been doing a long time, that’s not a reason to stop doing it, thinking you’ll never be as good as they are. It’s an opportunity to shortcut by dissecting what they’re doing or to collaborate with them. A lot of the time, you can just ask them to show you how they do it or what you’re doing wrong. Deliberate practice with a goal will get you past the plateaus you’re currently experiencing in e.g., your performance in tennis or musical instruments. Anybody who’s great at anything started out sucking at it, probably worse than you.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">Also, find a way to learn all of that trade school/shop class stuff. It’s unconscionable not to know how to repair or build things, and it will teach you the importance of good craftsmanship.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">All of your athletic problems boil down to three things. When you do something, you must turn your whole body to it. When you swim, turn your whole body and not just your neck to breathe. When you serve or hit a forehand, twist your whole body. When you punch or kick, turn your whole body’s weight to it like a spring. Second, you are uncomfortable having your hips above your head or falling in any way. Practice those things a thousand times, or until that concern disappears. A thousand dives off the high dive. A thousand headstands. A thousand trust falls. Third, an hour of yoga very week will fix that problem with your knees and the tightness in your back.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">In the next couple of years, you are on course to make three small mistakes that are very costly: failing to take the seminar with your advisors and instead taking one with the hostile guy, going to grad school in Ohio rather than California, and failing to build up an immunity to iocaine powder prior to getting in a death match with the Sicilian. At least you don’t get embroiled in a land war in Asia, though the country does.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;">I hope this helps and wish you (me) the best of all timelines.</span></div>
<b></b><i></i><u></u><sub></sub><sup></sup><strike></strike><span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
Originally posted on Quora here: <a href="https://www.quora.com/You-get-to-restart-your-life-at-any-age-however-you-would-have-no-recollection-of-being-any-older-All-you-will-be-allowed-to-bring-with-you-is-a-letter-What-will-you-write-in-that-letter/answer/Scott-Gosnell">https://www.quora.com/You-get-to-restart-your-life-at-any-age-however-you-would-have-no-recollection-of-being-any-older-All-you-will-be-allowed-to-bring-with-you-is-a-letter-What-will-you-write-in-that-letter/answer/Scott-Gosnell</a>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-9051043643967938792020-03-12T10:42:00.005-04:002020-03-12T10:42:58.349-04:00Some thoughts on the pandemic and panic<span style="font-family: inherit;">1. Fear and anxiety work on a bell curve. Up to a point, you're more and more likely to take action. Above that point, you're less and less likely to do so. It's good to ride the peak of that wave without going over.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"> 2. This is going to last longer than you think it will. For the US, the pandemic clock started ticking on or around March 1st. We're currently in Week 2. If we're lucky, we have about 10 weeks to go for the peak of this. D<span class="text_exposed_show" style="display: inline;">o the things that you are able to sustain for 10+ weeks.</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"> 3. Those safety measures need to be done at a hygienic level. You don't have to go off-grid or live in a biocontainment suit. You need to wash your hands as well and as often as you should have been doing all along (but who does that in normal times, really?), stop going to public events, and live quietly at home for a while. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"> 4. If you're under the age of 50, are not a healthcare worker, and are not immunocompromised, there's little threat to your life individually, nor to the lives of your children. Even if you are in one of the three high-risk groups above, you are more likely than not to survive coronavirus. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"> 5. There is, however, an enormous threat to the lives of the surrounding community. It's not an epidemic they'll be talking about in 1000 years, like the Black Plague, which killed 1/3rd of Europe, but it's like the 1918 flu, which killed 2% and which we're still talking about 100 years later. Do not fool around.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"> 6. The disease is enormously contagious, and is most contagious before symptoms hit. This is what makes it a systemic or community risk, rather than an idiosyncratic or individualized risk. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"> 7. We're going to get through this one way or another. We will get through it best if we can all be rational and thoughtful about our neighbors and our community (oh no).</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"> 8. A mediocre effort sustained for 10 weeks beats a maximum effort of 1 week followed by 9 weeks of neglect. Individually mediocre efforts coupled with an excellent national and community effort will see us through.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: inherit;"> BONUS: This is going to happen again, sooner rather than later, so maybe give Medicare for All or another universal health care program a bit of a push through Congress, so we're better prepared next time.</span></div>
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<b></b><i></i><u></u><sub></sub><sup></sup><strike></strike><span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-43947317885853736372020-02-25T11:00:00.001-05:002020-02-25T11:38:56.047-05:00Election 2020: The Democratic Primaries<div>
I'll reiterate here what I've been saying everywhere else, which is that the only way you're going to find the strongest candidate is to have all the possible nominees fight it out until one of them wins the majority of votes. That's the traditional method, and it's the method that works.</div>
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Beyond that, everything is just supposition and conjecture and hot air.<b> Nobody knows anything</b>.<br />
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I'm hoping enough voters start picking Elizabeth Warren to make her the frontrunner again, because I think she's the best person for the job, but you may have a different opinion. That's fine.</div>
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All of the remaining candidates beat Trump in head-to-head matchups. He's upside down in popularity numbers. Could he win if we're not careful? Sure, but I'd rather be where we are now, winning by ten points than vice versa.</div>
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Right now, there are many, many pundits saying that "Bernie can't win" or "a centrist can't win", either or both of which actually mean that the pundit could not imagine voting for such a candidate. I tell you, it's the same every time. When your guy or gal is in the lead, it's "Vote Blue No Matter Who" and when your guy or gal loses, it's "Screw you guys, I'm going home." </div>
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At the same time, we're working on social media time, where snap judgments are the rule of the day. People want this process to be over so they can get on with dumping Trump out of office. </div>
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Everybody's going to have to calm down and let the process work itself out. We're going to have a much better idea of where things stand by the end of March. Worst case, we've got another three months of wrangling to do until the convention in June.</div>
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Whatever happens, there's local work to be done. Vote in the primaries. Vote in the general. Work on behalf of the downticket candidates. </div>
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And engage in some self-care now so you're ready for the general.</div>
scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-7903513043706147252019-06-23T16:57:00.001-04:002019-06-23T16:57:33.812-04:00Links for Later 6-23-19<ol>
<li>Why the band <a href="https://griefbacon.substack.com/p/big-divorce-energy">The National are Big Divorced Energy.</a></li>
<li>Laurie Anderson on <a href="https://thecreativeindependent.com/people/laurie-anderson-on-reality-and-non-reality/">Reality and Non-Reality.</a></li>
<blockquote>
<div>
Right now I’m writing something, and people are asking, “Is it fiction or is it real?” I was like: “Well, I’m really not sure where that line goes.” And I’m really not. And, being an artist is what? Real or fantasy or…? Even when I’ve tried to work in the real world, it seems more deeply fantastical than anything I could make up. The fact that it happened, does it make it less fictional than if it never happened? I’m not sure. It’s the same in VR.</div>
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Recently, I spent time in a pyramid in the Yucatan—in a secret pyramid by James Turrell. Jim built a huge pyramid with a lake on top and a viewing device. It’s over Cenote, an underground lake, which are all over the Yucatan. They were made maybe a billion years ago or something. Meteors punched through the crust and made these underground lakes. They’re all connected: If you drop a note down in one of them, it will show up in another. They’re all connected by lakes. </div>
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<blockquote>
<div>
Me and three other people were there to talk about the future of the planet. We didn’t come up with anything, I have to say, but we had a really good time. One of the things that reminded me of this was that you looked up at the sky through an ellipse shaped hole; you looked at the sky all night. Around this hole was another ring of light, which always was shifting. It wasn’t like camping and looking at the night sky; it was like looking at yourself looking at the night sky. Your interpretation of what black is always influenced by, “Is it surrounded by lime green or baby pink?” As the sun rises and the sky goes through every single phase that it could, from black to blue, including pink and red, you realize that even so called, “Seeing things,” is an act of comparison, memory, labeling and, fiction. It was never that as clear to me before as that. I’ve thought, “Oh, the sky is green!” I said, “Because it’s ringed with pink.” “Oh my, it’s brown!” “Because it’s against dark blue.” </div>
</blockquote>
<blockquote>
<div>
We talked in this desultory way about what we could do. And, I mean… I’ve missed the thinkers in the last year. I haven’t heard from very many thinkers. The level of discussion has sunk to the rock bottom. Although, just when you think you’ve found a rock, you might find something else, like the slime beneath it. I’m fairly terrified and trying to not be; I’m trying to be an informed person who’s getting a lot of energy from a terrible situation. I largely blame myself for not seeing that we just very slowly didn’t seem to have a middle class anymore. I thought, “Where have I been?”</div>
</blockquote>
<li><a href="https://www.esquire.com/entertainment/a27434009/bennington-college-oral-history-bret-easton-ellis/">Oral History of Bennington College in the 80's</a></li>
</ol>
<div>
<br /></div>
scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-57173472457662779662019-04-08T15:57:00.001-04:002019-04-08T15:57:09.645-04:00African-American Graveyard Buried Under Upper Arlington High SchoolAn African-American graveyard was established by a freed slave and blacksmith named Pleasant Litchford on the site where Upper Arlington High School currently stands. While some of the graves were moved when the school was built in 1955, it is unclear whether all of the graves were properly relocated.<br />
<br />
From <a href="https://radio.wosu.org/post/african-american-cemetery-may-still-sit-below-upper-arlington-high-school?fbclid=IwAR1lgeVsnZo1EG9DHC4gHSC7ZPRqk11iLgz6xrx4DExMgA30v4CLYQtPKJg#stream/0">WOSU</a>:<br />
<br />
<blockquote class="tr_bq">
Upper Arlington School District will study whether remains may still lie beneath the high school’s campus. Superintendent Paul Imhoff said they are working with an archaeologist and plan to conduct a scan of the area to identify any graves that may not have already been cleared.<br /><br />Construction of the first high school revealed the cemetery in 1955. The district moved remains they found, but it built a parking lot and possibly part of the building over the area.<br /><br />Upper Arlington resident Mike Renz has encouraged the city and school district to further explore the cemetery, and he said construction of the current high school above the cemetery illustrated the community’s segregation at that time.<br /><br />“You don’t handle human remains in such a casual way,” Renz said. “You don’t build buildings or parking lots over graves no matter who they belong to.”<br /><br />Now, the district wants to address its previous mistakes and respectfully manage the cemetery as it tears down the old high school, Imhoff said.<br /><br />“This is not a proud part of our history, but it is a part of our history, and we feel strongly that we are not going to hide from that. We’re not going to pretend like it didn’t happen,” Imhoff said. “We’re still in the process of determining what (the right thing) is, but we’re certainly dedicated to doing the right thing and honoring these people whose final resting place was on that site.”<br /><br />In addition to searching for more remains, Imhoff says he expects some kind of memorial to be placed on the cemetery’s site.<br /><br />Pleasant Litchford, a freed slave who came to Columbus from Virginia in 1828, established the cemetery in the 1800s. As a blacksmith, he <a href="https://columbusneighborhoods.org/story/family-ties-connect-stories-of-black-history-makers-across-the-country/">started buying land</a> in what is now Upper Arlington, and founded the cemetery for his family and other African-Americans who were excluded from white cemeteries.<br /><br /></blockquote>
<b></b><i></i><u></u><sub></sub><sup></sup><strike></strike><span style="font-family: inherit;"></span><br />
<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="448" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/lHm4Kgo_kdM" width="664"></iframe>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-86127700964322228672019-01-20T12:04:00.000-05:002019-01-25T11:08:52.889-05:00Goodbye, Dad<br />
<div style="margin: 0px;">
<span style="font-size: x-large;">
William Gosnell 1931-2019</span></div>
<span style="font-size: x-large;"></span><br />
<div style="margin: 0px 0px 10.66px;">
<br /></div>
<br />
<div style="margin: 0px 0px 10.66px;">
<span style="font-family: "garamond" , serif; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; margin: 0px;">GOSNELL William Francis Gosnell, 87, of Upper Arlington,
passed away at home Sunday, January 20, 2019, after a long illness. He was
preceded in death by his parents, Dr. Francis and Katherine Gosnell and his
sister, Mariana Gosnell. He is survived by his wife, Norma L. Gosnell, son,
Scott Gosnell, sister, Molly Rudy, sister-in-law Irma Pinkerton and
brothers-in-law Bill (Gayle) and Jack (Sophie) Hall. He was a devoted uncle to his nephews and
nieces, Doug, Steve, and Kathy; Jimmy, Tommy, Shirley, Silvia, Kelly, Karen,
Steve, Cathy, Danielle and Kim; their spouses and partners; and a great-uncle to his many grand nephews and
nieces.</span></div>
<br />
<div style="margin: 0px 0px 10.66px;">
<span style="font-family: "garamond" , serif; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; margin: 0px;">William was a 1949 graduate of Upper Arlington High School.
He went on to receive both his Bachelors and Masters of Arts from the Ohio
State University. He served two years in the United States Marine Corps during
the Korean War before resuming his studies. Following college, he taught
History, Government, Psychology and Sociology for forty-two years at Northland
High School, and was awarded Teacher of the Year in 1993. He was constantly
amazed and delighted to see his students grow and develop as people.</span></div>
<br />
<div style="margin: 0px 0px 10.66px;">
<span style="font-family: "garamond" , serif; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; margin: 0px;">William met his wife Norma when both became members of the
recently opened Swim and Racquet Tennis Club; they would go on to become club
champions in mixed doubles, to remain lifelong partners in tennis and in life, to
celebrate the birth of their son, Scott, and to celebrate their fiftieth
wedding anniversary. He described himself as “a good egg, slightly cracked,”
but will be remembered for his kindness, interest in everyone he met, capacity
to generate a lecture on any topic at any length at the drop of a hat,
boundless curiosity and thirst for knowledge, and his belief in treating
everyone among us with dignity and justice. His favorite advice was from the
movie <i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">Bill and Ted’s Excellent Adventure:</i>
“Be excellent to each other.”</span></div>
<br />
<div style="margin: 0px 0px 10.66px;">
<span style="font-family: "garamond" , serif; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; margin: 0px;">He was a sixty-eight-year member of First Community Church in
Marble Cliff, where the memorial service will be held on January 30, 2019 at
11AM, despite his previously stated preference for “a traditional Viking
funeral with burning ship and so forth,” “to be set adrift on an ice floe,” or
“to be shot bodily into orbit from a large cannon.” We will miss him terribly.</span></div>
<span style="font-family: "garamond" , serif; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 107%; margin: 0px;"><i></i><br /></span>
<div style="margin: 0px 0px 10.66px;">
<span style="font-family: "garamond" , serif;"><i>Service will be held in Burkhart Chapel at the South Campus of First Community Church, 1320 Cambridge Ave. 43212, at 11AM, January 30, 2019. </i><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: "garamond" , serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 17.33px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;">In lieu
of flowers, please make a donation to the educational charity of your choice.</span></i><br />
<div style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent; color: black; font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; word-spacing: 0px;">
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: "garamond" , serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 17.33px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px;"></span></i></div>
</span></div>
<b></b><i></i><u></u><sub></sub><sup></sup><strike></strike><i></i><span style="font-family: "garamond" , serif;"></span>scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-66304363995880260202018-09-10T11:01:00.000-04:002018-09-10T11:01:18.915-04:00Links for Later 9-11-18<ol>
<li>The <a href="http://www.latimes.com/world/la-fg-israel-blue-20180910-htmlstory.html?">dye from the<i> murex</i> snail</a> was responsible for both Tyrian purple, used in Imperial robes and<i> tekhelet,</i> the "perfect" blue dye of Hebrew prayer shawls.</li>
<li>Antitrust legislation rises from the dead, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/07/technology/monopoly-antitrust-lina-khan-amazon.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fbusiness">thanks to Lina Khan</a> and others like her.</li>
<li>Harvard started <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/08/business/economy/harvard-living-wage.html">paying its workers a living wage</a>. Could other companies do the same?</li>
</ol>
scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-12853770.post-26760628095775896712018-08-17T13:08:00.000-04:002018-08-17T13:08:01.927-04:00State of the OH15 House Race<div data-block="true" data-editor="c8veo" data-offset-key="cgd0g-0-0" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent; color: #1d2129; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; word-spacing: 0px;">
<div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="cgd0g-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; position: relative; text-align: left; white-space: pre-wrap;">
<span data-offset-key="cgd0g-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><span data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;">Collecting and reposting my state of the election notes from https://www.facebook.com/groups/IndivisibleOHDist15/permalink/505002666610097/</span></span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="3bl21-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><br data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;" /></span></div>
</div>
<div data-block="true" data-editor="c8veo" data-offset-key="br6nn-0-0" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent; color: #1d2129; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; word-spacing: 0px;">
<div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="br6nn-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; position: relative; text-align: left; white-space: pre-wrap;">
<span data-offset-key="br6nn-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><span data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;">The polling from the week before the 12th's special election showed Rep. Stivers about 7-9 points ahead. The 15 point lead predicted by 538's "standard" model is likely an overreaction to the narrow R win in the 12th. </span></span></div>
</div>
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<span data-offset-key="8ssm0-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><br data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;" /></span></div>
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<div data-block="true" data-editor="c8veo" data-offset-key="594oo-0-0" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent; color: #1d2129; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; word-spacing: 0px;">
<div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="594oo-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; position: relative; text-align: left; white-space: pre-wrap;">
<span data-offset-key="594oo-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><span data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;">He has much better name recognition and is currently running an unopposed air campaign (TV/radio/internet ads), plus an incumbent advantage. He's also one of the Republicans' top fundraisers.</span></span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="fa0t7-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><br data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;" /></span></div>
</div>
<div data-block="true" data-editor="c8veo" data-offset-key="4d290-0-0" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent; color: #1d2129; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; word-spacing: 0px;">
<div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="4d290-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; position: relative; text-align: left; white-space: pre-wrap;">
<span data-offset-key="4d290-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><span data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;">Against all that, this is going to be a blue wave year, with about a +10 advantage for the Democrats. Neal's fundraising has been much more vigorous than usual for the district, though to get up to par would require a massive surge. The Senate and Governor's races may provide some additional coattails.</span></span></div>
</div>
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<span data-offset-key="a33sq-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><br data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;" /></span></div>
</div>
<div data-block="true" data-editor="c8veo" data-offset-key="a6h6l-0-0" style="-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: transparent; color: #1d2129; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: left; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: pre-wrap; word-spacing: 0px;">
<div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="a6h6l-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; position: relative; text-align: left; white-space: pre-wrap;">
<span data-offset-key="a6h6l-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><span data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;">Based on the distribution of votes from the past couple of elections, the Democrats need to bank large leads in Franklin County and Athens, and reduce the Republican lead in Madison and Fairfield (Lancaster area). </span></span></div>
</div>
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<span data-offset-key="7ur97-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><br data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;" /></span></div>
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<div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="2uuqo-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; position: relative; text-align: left; white-space: pre-wrap;">
<span data-offset-key="2uuqo-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><span data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;">Franklin is a game of suburbs: Upper Arlington, Hilliard, Grove City, Obetz. (going from D-->R strength).</span></span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="6t9p3-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><br data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;" /></span></div>
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<div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="6dk6r-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; position: relative; text-align: left; white-space: pre-wrap;">
<span data-offset-key="6dk6r-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><span data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;">To win, the Democrats must have both an excellent ground game (GOTV), which I think they have, and an impactful and constant air campaign (TV/radio/internet). While I've tweaked Rick Neal about this on a semi-regular basis, it's really an area where ODP has fallen down, and the bulk of the criticism needs to fall on them. Failure to market on air leads to poor fundraising numbers and poor turnout. Failure to get on air in the summer allows their opponents to set the terms of the debate.</span></span></div>
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<span data-offset-key="9m7i8-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><br data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;" /></span></div>
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<div class="_1mf _1mj" data-offset-key="1b901-0-0" style="direction: ltr; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif; position: relative; text-align: left; white-space: pre-wrap;">
<span data-offset-key="1b901-0-0" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;"><span data-text="true" style="font-family: Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;">Absent a compelling purchased ad campaign, I'd expect that every down-ballot Democrat should be throwing themselves in front of every camera and microphone in the world, acting as if they've already won and are just waiting to be sworn in. Earned media can make the difference.</span></span></div>
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<b></b><i></i><u></u><sub></sub><sup></sup><strike></strike><br />scotthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15219178980327722595noreply@blogger.com0